3 thoughts on “A Climate Bet”

  1. Well as long as we didn’t set a temperature record in US and data sets during that four year period, we must be fine. I’ll outsource the commentary to Murray Gell-Mann:

    Is it really, really so extremely difficult to persuade people that climate, which is average weather, can have three contributions that add to one another? That is, some cyclical effects, some random noise and a secular steadily rising trend from human activity?

    Can people really not grasp this trivially simple idea?

  2. Annan was a bit naive, with 1998 being so far above the trend line the odds were against him, he should have gone for a six year period with the GISS record data.

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