All posts by Rand Simberg

Should Later Primaries Count More?

Mickey thinks so (scroll down past the post about the administration’s “virtual fence” fiasco):

If Hillary wins Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania, that’s what she’s going to claim. It’s not a bogus argument. Voters in late primaries have more information than voters in early primaries. Superdelegates should be able to take note. That’s different from arguing that Hillary should be able to pull strings and get superdelegates even if she keeps losing.

I agree.

I think that there are some similarities between presidential primaries and the mythical national college football championship (particularly this year, when perceived front-runners kept losing each week). A loss early in the season is nowhere near as damaging as a late one, in terms of the polls. Given how arcane the primary system is, with different rules for every state, it does make sense that a later primary should count more than an early one, which is why Hillary! shouldn’t be counted out yet (and won’t be, if she has anything to say about it). Barring a disaster for her (huge losses in both Texas and Ohio on Tuesday), I expect her to fight all the way to Denver. And I’ll love every minute of it.

Things Heating Up In The Levant?

Maybe:

The US Navy is sending three warships to the eastern Mediterranean Sea in a show of strength during a period of tensions with Syria and political uncertainty in Lebanon.

It’s hard to believe that Syria really wants another war, given how easily Israel penetrated their supposedly impenetrable Russian defenses last fall. I think that the message is that if Hezbollah wants to take on Israel again, they’d better do it alone.

Eating Themselves To Death

A new theory about the end of the Neanderthals:

“TSE’s could have thinned the population, reducing numbers and contributing to their extinction in combination with other factors (such as climate change and the emergence of modern humans),” he said.

Such diseases have very long incubation periods, he further explained, so affected individuals may not show symptoms for a very long time. Similarly, people who consume TSE victims may not exhibit signs of illness immediately after eating.

“Neanderthals would have been unlikely to spot any causal relationship between cannibalism and TSE symptoms,” Underdown said.

No kidding.