All posts by Rand Simberg

What Am I?

Ramesh Ponnuru asks an interesting question:

…what’s the best term to refer both to agnostics and atheists? “Faithless” seems too negative, “bright” too propagandistic. Do agnostics and atheists consider “unbeliever” better than “non-believer,” or vice-versa? When I was agnostic, I didn’t take my own unbelief seriously enough to consider this question.

I’ve never given much thought to the matter, but if one insists on lumping both into the same category, I’d say that “non-theists” seems both accurate and non-pejorative (other than to those to whom not believing in God is an intrinsically bad thing…).

But I think that the distinction between atheists and skeptics is important. The former (based on my experience with them) are as devout, or (actually) more devout, than most theists. They fervently believe (unprovably) that there is no God, and will proselytize endlessly to convert others to their belief. I have no belief, one way or the other, and it would never occur to me to (futilely) attempt to persuade a believer, of either faith, one way or the other.

The Battle Lines

…continue to be more clearly drawn. From the Guardian:

The Salafist movement was under-rated and misunderstood and the reaction to it has been confused. As always, the right is triggerhappy and hostile to free expression; as always, the left never wants to do anything that would hazard its self-righteous sense of moral purity.

These are historic fault lines. The right tolerated fascism in the thirties, the left Soviet Communism in the fifties. Of course these two earlier totalitarian movements were different in nature and our response when it came was not always well judged – the tendency is to think first of the excesses of the right typified by the witch hunts of the odious McCarthy, but we should remember, too, that the Democratic party in the immediate postwar years of Henry Wallace would have abandoned Europe just as the left in the eighties would have left Europe at the mercy of the new Soviet missiles.

The apologists for the Islamo-fascists – an accurate term – leave millions around the world exposed to a less obvious but more insidious barbarism.

Splashing Cold Water

…on Ray Kurzweil. Derek Lowe is optimistic, but not that optimistic:

I agree that we can overcome the major diseases. I really do expect to put cancer, heart disease, the major infections, and the degenerative disorders in their place. But do I expect to do it by 20-flipping-19? No. I do not. I should not like to be forced to put a date on when I think we’ll have taken care of the diseases that are responsible for 95% of the mortality in the industrialized world. But I am willing to bet against it happening by 2019, and I will seriously entertain offers from anyone willing to take the other side of that bet.

I hope (as I suspect he does as well) that he’s wrong, but fear he’s right. Still have to exercise and watch the diet. On the other hand, I do think we’ve already made pretty good strides on this front, and they may be sufficient to keep me going until whatever date needed.

I Could Write A Long Essay On This

…and probably even get well paid for it, in an influential publication, if I didn’t want to lose my job. Unfortunately, it wouldn’t pay that well…

Proposition (with which I don’t necessarily agree):

NASA’s approach, a return to Apollo (both in terms of the “we need to set a goal and get there,” and the actual hardware concepts) represents the mindset of a cargo cult.

As Rusty Barton noted over at sci.space.policy, in response to this story, “When Boeing started designing the 787, did its engineers go to the Udvar-Hazy Museum and start pulling parts off the Dash-80?”

Discuss.

Why HLVs?

OK, my question to Dr. Stanley is, if it’s a good idea for Mars, why isn’t it a good idea for the moon?

“If you refilled the EDS in orbit [using commercial LEO fuel depots] it could act as the MTV,” says Georgia Institute of Technology aerospace professor Douglas Stanley, manager of the November 2005 NASA exploration systems architecture study (ESAS).