Thoughts on the not-to-be-hoped-for civil war:
Antifa wants an insurrection leading to a legitimacy collapse and a communist/left-anarchist revolution. But there's a very basic question: where's it going to find the troops, and how's it going to train them?
— Eric S. Raymond (@esrtweet) September 25, 2025
In one of my previous analysis posts I identified three overlapping…
I just remembered that Utah employs firing squads as a method of execution, coincidentally.
“Broadly speaking I think there are two possible recruitment strategies. One centers on overproduced elites, the other on nonwhites with racial grievances. Probably both will get tried, but both have serious problems.”
Over 70,000,000 people voted for Kamala. Marxism and its daughter ideology, progressivism, are both really popular with the vast majority of Democrats. I have noted in the past how the arrest records for Antifa generally follow the three groups ESR brings up. But the militants get funding, legal, organizational, and moral support from the broader Democrat party and normie Democrats.
Antifa breaks roles down by what a person will individually support. Not everyone wants to engage in violence, others act as interference, medics, lawyers, normie human shields, etc.
Obama did this with his campaigns, identify different groups of differing support and try and move them one step to the left. Look for this same strategy. Maybe ESR doesn’t think they would join up but there are tens of millions of progressives and normie Democrats that have already been milked for other types of support and are susceptible to take a step or two to the left.
Rather than minorities, politician’s kids, government workers, and education professionals, the danger is from drawing from the quite large populations of normies and progressives. I think this has been the long term trend and goal of their movement and there are a lot of data to back up the entire Democrat party shifting to support political violence and totalitarian abuse of power