The Soon Et Al Paper

What is right, and wrong with it.

It’s always worth noting that the notion that CO2 is a greenhouse gas has never been in serious dispute, or even that the planet has been warming, in fits and starts, since the end of the LIA. The issue is feedbacks, and the limits of our ability to model them. We will probably get better at that in the future, but we currently suck at it, and it would be insane to base public policy on the models.

3 thoughts on “The Soon Et Al Paper”

  1. We are in for a long climb-down. Sort of like the estimates of electron charge after Millikan’s oil drop experiment, estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity to CO2 will only slowly decline, because all those sooper-geniuses just couldn’t have been wrong, could they?

    They were. Eventually, everyone will realize ECS is virtually nil, and the simplistic cartoon characterizations of this insanely complex climate system were entirely off the mark. Meanwhile, the doomsayers are going to be spinning like mad, hoping and praying for a harsh El Nino to rescue them from their folly.

    1. “Meanwhile, the doomsayers are going to be spinning like mad, hoping and praying for a harsh El Nino to rescue them from their folly.”

      Yes, the colder current effecting things now are just weather and not a sign of global cooling but as soon as El Nino makes an appearance, it will all be global warming.

Comments are closed.