All posts by Rand Simberg

Stupid Poll Tricks

Public opinion polls can be infuriatingly misleading (or the coverage of them can) in several different ways, but here’s one that you see quite often. The Chron is reporting that four in ten Americans have had their confidence in the president reduced by his handling of Iraq.

Who cares? Does anyone think that a significant number of those were people who had high confidence in the President to start with? All it means is that low confidence got lower–it has zero electoral implications, because few of them would have voted for him regardless.

Costume Tomfoolery

I don’t like wearing costumes, or think it worth the time and effort to come up with anything creative. I was most gratified when invited to a party last weekend (thanks, Cathy!) to learn that it was costume optional.

I haven’t cared much for Halloween since I was a little kid. Back then, we thought it was something you were supposed to outgrow. Somehow, though, many of my generation apparently didn’t–it’s become the biggest holiday of the year after Christmas. What is that all about?

Anyway, Robert over at retrocrush.com has a collection of the lamest Halloween costumes ever.

Get Out The Umbrella

There’s some weather on the way (it’s not a permalink, but it does have as the top story right now this morning’s mass ejection from the corona, and it’s a good general link for space weather). Someone asked me in email if this will endanger the astronauts aboard Space Station Albatross.

No, not really–they’re protected for the most part by the geomagnetic field. If they were going to or from the moon, or somewhere else beyond earth, they’d be in trouble though, if they didn’t have adequate shielding.

In any event, those folks in the northern (and southern) latitudes should be seeing some spectacular aurora borealis and australis over the next night or two.

[3 PM update]

Here’s another story, and it answers the above question:

Such solar storms have the potential for knocking out communications and power grids on Earth, and can be harmful to orbiting satellites and astronauts.

The International Space Station’s current resident crew — commander Michael Foale and flight engineer Alexander Kaleri — will protect themselves by moving to a portion of the outpost that provides the most shielding from radiation.

Back To The Moon?

Frank Sietzen says that’s the inside scuttlebutt on the direction for the administration’s space policy.

Of course, the article also points out that the President’s father had such a policy, and it faltered on the shoals of a recalcitrant bureaucracy.

It’s also interesting that, at the same time, Congress is reining in the OSP horses.

While killing OSP is a good idea in general, in my opinion, it certainly makes sense not to move out with any major new initiatives until we’ve figured out what we’re trying to accomplish in space, and if Sietzen is right, we may know on December 17th. It will be somewhat ironic if Burt Rutan also flies a private spaceship into space on the same day, which, as rumor has it, he wishes to do.

[Update at 12:45 PM PST]

Leonard David has more. It has a typically stupid quote from Bob Park:

“NASA is looking a little sick. But to imagine that the cure is a larger dose of what made it sick is downright pathological,” Park noted. “Manned spaceflight is going nowhere because there’s nowhere to go.”

However, Wes Huntress says something sensible:

NASA must back away from their intense focus on the station/shuttle infrastructure as make-or-break for the agency, Huntress told SPACE.com, and the imbedded notion that the ISS is a destination. Furthermore, the space agency has to abandon the notion that the station/shuttle infrastructure is on the critical path to deep space destinations, except for research on human space physiology.

[Update at 1:12 PM PST]

Tomorrow’s Senate hearing will have a live webcast. And they have one unusual suspect testifying (not counting Bob Zubrin)–Rick Tumlinson of the Space Frontier Foundation. The hearing starts at 9:30 AM Eastern time.