All posts by Rand Simberg

Testing, Testing

Kathy Sawyer has an article in the WaPo today about the fundamental problem with the shuttle (though one would think from the title of the piece–“Panel Decries View of Spaceflight as Routine”–that it’s one intrinsic to spaceflight itself).

The Shuttle has always been a development program, and many of us thought it absurd back in 1982 when it was declared “operational” by President Reagan in a ceremony at Edwards (which I attended). As the article points out, the Shuttle has had fewer total flights than an aircraft undergoing certification.

While I agree that as long as NASA continues to fly the Shuttle, they should do it in much more of an R&D mode, I fear that such criticism will make it harder to persuade people that space transports don’t have to be like the Shuttle.

The Shuttle was doomed to remain a vehicle forever in development back when it was being…well…developed, back in the 1970s. Once the fatal compromises of SRBs and non-flyback boosters, and aluminum skin and tiles, among others, were made, there was little hope of getting the low costs and fast turnaround necessary to get the high flight rates needed not only to prove out the concept, but to reduce per-flight costs.

To save a few billion dollars in that decade, we have since spent many billions in increased operations costs and lost vehicles, not to mention the tragedy of our myopically limited space program, relative to the much more vibrant one we might have had with a more robust low-cost design.

I’m Shocked, Shocked To Find Politics In This Establishment

That’s the attitude of this reporter from the Orlando Sentinel, who reports that Columbia’s last flight was (gasp!) driven by politics rather than science.

Find any aspect of manned spaceflight that’s not driven by politics, then get back to me.

Of course, he quotes our usual suspect.

“One can certainly use this mission as a way of understanding how the shuttle and NASA have as much to do with politics as science,” said John Pike, director of the policy-analysis group GlobalSecurity.org. “Anyone who thinks this is mainly about science hasn’t spent much time looking at the space program.”

Well, he’s right, this time. He’s much more reliable when talking about the politics of the space program, rather than the technology.

Alex Roland weighs in as well.

Critics are urging that human lives and the $3 billion spaceships not be put at risk unless there are clear and compelling reasons for doing so. However, an investigative board chaired by retired Navy Adm. Harold Gehman is not expected to address the issue in its final report expected next month.

“What is most disturbing about Admiral Gehman’s investigation is that it isn’t looking at questions like this — just what it takes to get the shuttle flying again as soon as possible,” said Alex Roland, a history professor at Duke University, former NASA historian and vocal critic of the agency. “Neither the shuttle program or the [international] space station are providing any payoff that justifies the risk of human life or the huge expense.”

While I agree that the Shuttle and station aren’t worth the money (though I continue to believe that the loss of human life is essentially irrelevant, as long as no one is forced to go at gunpoint), I don’t agree that it’s Admiral Gehman’s job to critique space policy.

He was given a mandate to determine the cause of the disaster, and provide recommendations to prevent future such occurrences. I suppose that an effective recommendation could be to simply shut down the manned spaceflight program, but that’s the trivial solution, and it’s one far above his pay grade, even for an admiral.

I would love to have a serious national debate on the purposes and means of our civil space policy (it really hasn’t happened since Sputnik), but it’s not Gehman’s job to resolve that for us. Perhaps, however, his report may serve as a catalyst for one.

I’m Shocked, Shocked To Find Politics In This Establishment

That’s the attitude of this reporter from the Orlando Sentinel, who reports that Columbia’s last flight was (gasp!) driven by politics rather than science.

Find any aspect of manned spaceflight that’s not driven by politics, then get back to me.

Of course, he quotes our usual suspect.

“One can certainly use this mission as a way of understanding how the shuttle and NASA have as much to do with politics as science,” said John Pike, director of the policy-analysis group GlobalSecurity.org. “Anyone who thinks this is mainly about science hasn’t spent much time looking at the space program.”

Well, he’s right, this time. He’s much more reliable when talking about the politics of the space program, rather than the technology.

Alex Roland weighs in as well.

Critics are urging that human lives and the $3 billion spaceships not be put at risk unless there are clear and compelling reasons for doing so. However, an investigative board chaired by retired Navy Adm. Harold Gehman is not expected to address the issue in its final report expected next month.

“What is most disturbing about Admiral Gehman’s investigation is that it isn’t looking at questions like this — just what it takes to get the shuttle flying again as soon as possible,” said Alex Roland, a history professor at Duke University, former NASA historian and vocal critic of the agency. “Neither the shuttle program or the [international] space station are providing any payoff that justifies the risk of human life or the huge expense.”

While I agree that the Shuttle and station aren’t worth the money (though I continue to believe that the loss of human life is essentially irrelevant, as long as no one is forced to go at gunpoint), I don’t agree that it’s Admiral Gehman’s job to critique space policy.

He was given a mandate to determine the cause of the disaster, and provide recommendations to prevent future such occurrences. I suppose that an effective recommendation could be to simply shut down the manned spaceflight program, but that’s the trivial solution, and it’s one far above his pay grade, even for an admiral.

I would love to have a serious national debate on the purposes and means of our civil space policy (it really hasn’t happened since Sputnik), but it’s not Gehman’s job to resolve that for us. Perhaps, however, his report may serve as a catalyst for one.

I’m Shocked, Shocked To Find Politics In This Establishment

That’s the attitude of this reporter from the Orlando Sentinel, who reports that Columbia’s last flight was (gasp!) driven by politics rather than science.

Find any aspect of manned spaceflight that’s not driven by politics, then get back to me.

Of course, he quotes our usual suspect.

“One can certainly use this mission as a way of understanding how the shuttle and NASA have as much to do with politics as science,” said John Pike, director of the policy-analysis group GlobalSecurity.org. “Anyone who thinks this is mainly about science hasn’t spent much time looking at the space program.”

Well, he’s right, this time. He’s much more reliable when talking about the politics of the space program, rather than the technology.

Alex Roland weighs in as well.

Critics are urging that human lives and the $3 billion spaceships not be put at risk unless there are clear and compelling reasons for doing so. However, an investigative board chaired by retired Navy Adm. Harold Gehman is not expected to address the issue in its final report expected next month.

“What is most disturbing about Admiral Gehman’s investigation is that it isn’t looking at questions like this — just what it takes to get the shuttle flying again as soon as possible,” said Alex Roland, a history professor at Duke University, former NASA historian and vocal critic of the agency. “Neither the shuttle program or the [international] space station are providing any payoff that justifies the risk of human life or the huge expense.”

While I agree that the Shuttle and station aren’t worth the money (though I continue to believe that the loss of human life is essentially irrelevant, as long as no one is forced to go at gunpoint), I don’t agree that it’s Admiral Gehman’s job to critique space policy.

He was given a mandate to determine the cause of the disaster, and provide recommendations to prevent future such occurrences. I suppose that an effective recommendation could be to simply shut down the manned spaceflight program, but that’s the trivial solution, and it’s one far above his pay grade, even for an admiral.

I would love to have a serious national debate on the purposes and means of our civil space policy (it really hasn’t happened since Sputnik), but it’s not Gehman’s job to resolve that for us. Perhaps, however, his report may serve as a catalyst for one.

CA Humor

Received via email:

A guy was traveling through Mexico on vacation when, lo and behold, he lost his wallet and all identification.

Cutting his trip short, he attempts to make his way home but is stopped by the Customs Agent at the Tijuana border.

“May I see your identification, please?” asks the agent.

I’m sorry, but I lost my wallet,” replies the guy.

“Sure, buddy, I hear that every day. No ID, no crossing the border,” says the agent.

“But I can prove that I’m an American!” he exclaims.

“I have a picture of Bill Clinton tattooed on one butt cheek and a picture of George Bush on the other.”

“This I gotta see,” replies the agent.

With that, Joe drops his pants and bends over in front of the agent.

“By golly, you’re right!” exclaims the agent. “Go on home to California.”

“Thanks!” he says. “But how did you know I was from California?”

The agent replies, “I recognized the picture of Gray Davis in the middle.”

Millionaires Queuing Up For A Ride To Space

The competition to ride into space, as well as to provide rides, is heating up. According the linked article, Space Adventures had a little soire in London to show off potential services to well-heeled clients, and it does indeed look as though (assuming that NASA gets the Shuttle flying again), there will be a purely commercial space tourism mission coming up. And also according to the article, Richard Branson would like to lose his space Virginity.

There’s also a continued shift in perception underway:

…not everyone with an interest in British space exploration was excited about the prospect of the UK’s first space tourist. Professor Colin Pillinger, the Open University scientist leading the Beagle 2 project to Mars, was among them.

“I’ll believe it when I see it,” said Professor Pillinger. “I doubt very much whether Nasa will let people just drop into the International Space Station for a cup of tea.

This kind of snooty dismissal is not atypical of responses from space science types. But what’s different is the next quote from him, which shows that at last, he and his colleagues may be starting to get it. I should also note that he doesn’t know what he’s talking about, because in fact NASA has done just that, twice.

“The only possible benefit I can see from all this is that if more people are going into space, rockets will become cheaper for the rest of us.”

Exactly. That’s the point.

And that should be benefit enough for you, if not for those of us who want to go, so maybe you’ll at least stop poo-pooing it?