All posts by Rand Simberg

Still No Problem

Glenn still thinks that the assault weapons bill is bad news for Bush, because of this WorldNetDaily article. I emailed him about it, but I didn’t post first so he had nothing to link to. Here’s what I emailed him:

That article actually makes my earlier point. Note the wording:

“many gun owners say they’ll dump Bush in 2004 and vote for someone else if he signs new legislation extending the prohibition.”

I never disputed that–I’d be pretty angry if he actually signs legislation, but I still don’t believe that the legislation will ever get to his desk, so the point is probably moot. And while it’s irritating to hear him give it lip service, I don’t think that very many gun owners are going to risk putting in a president who will actually fight to get the ban extended (or in that case, renewed), which is probably exactly what the effect of not voting for Bush would be.

Here’s another key quote from the piece:

“I will not vote for [Bush] if this ban is in place by Election Day,” one WND reader said. “I am a Republican who will vote for a Democrat if I have to, if they fight against this bill. All of my conservative, gun-owning friends are exactly the same as me.”

Again, it doesn’t matter, because the ban won’t be in place by election day. It will have died a well-deserved, albeit belated, death.

But Some People Never Learn

Hezbollah is now threatening to target Americans.

What?!

I thought that it was just a political party.

This article is disturbing on several levels.

Hezbollah’s renewed focus on America has sharpened the long-standing debate among U.S. officials over whether the United States can, and should, go after the group. Some believe that a showdown has been overdue since 1983, when the group blew up the U.S. Embassy and a Marine barracks in Beirut. The attacks killed more than 300 people.

But any offensive would be fraught with political, diplomatic and economic risks for the United States, some officials say. Hezbollah’s close ties with Iran and Syria ? the major power broker in Lebanon ? underscore the complexities of pressing the war on terrorism when it involves groups backed by governments, they note.

Gee, I thought that we came up with the template for that one with the Taliban. And why, in light of what we now know, can’t we use the Marine barracks bombing as a justification for war? Is there some kind of statute of limitations?

Though U.S. counter-terrorism officials for decades have regarded Iran in particular as a key player in international terrorism, successive administrations have concluded that they had few viable options in dealing with Tehran, said Roger Cressey, a senior counter-terrorism official with the National Security Council in the Clinton and Bush administrations who recently left the White House.

No mention of what those “few viable options” are. It seems to me that the main difference between Iraq and Iran (other than the former’s sheer brutality) is the fact that the Iranian government hasn’t been stupid enough to invade a neighbor and have UN resolutions passed against it that it could violate. Other than that, it fits the pattern–a dictatorial regime that harbors terrorists, and one that its people would largely like to see the back of.

With thousands of well-trained, well-armed and highly disciplined soldiers, and thousands of missiles and other armaments, Hezbollah could pose a more potent threat than even Al Qaeda, several top U.S. officials have warned.

“I’ll tell you that Hezbollah, as an organization with capability and worldwide presence, is its equal, if not a far more capable, organization,” CIA Director George J. Tenet testified to Congress this year. “I actually think they’re a notch above in many respects” in part because of the group’s ties with Iran, he said.

What that says to me is that it’s all the more urgent that we do something about it, even at the short-term risk of stirring up a rattler’s nest.

U.S. officials said it is too early for an administration still caught up in the war in Iraq and its aftermath to formulate any new policies on Hezbollah, but top Bush administration officials publicly warned Syrian President Bashar Assad this week against supporting terrorism or sheltering fleeing Iraqi officials. Syria has denied giving refuge to officials of Saddam Hussein’s regime.

Really? They were so busy thinking about Iraq that no one has given any thought to the follow through? I sincerely hope that those “U.S. officials” are mistaken.

As usual, the folks at Foggy Bottom seem to lack feck, to the point that even a Democrat is appalled.

When members of the House international terrorism subcommittee recently asked what the administration is doing about the threat, Assistant Secretary of State Earl Anthony Wayne said: “We regularly dialogue with our partners who we think might have [a] more forgiving attitude toward Iran [and] will continue to do so until they change their policies on terrorism, on weapons of mass destruction, on human rights within their own country.”

“So they can expect harshly worded letters?” retorted Rep. Brad Sherman (D- Sherman Oaks), the panel’s ranking Democrat. “That’s pretty much the Clinton administration approach.

“Other than the fact that we’re going to bad-mouth them, what else might we do to the government in Tehran?” Sherman asked. “Anything that might even cost them a nickel?”

“…the Clinton administration approach.” I love that, particularly considering the source. But I’m afraid that he’s right.

I’d sure like to know what the plan is. Or if there is one.

They’re Starting To Get It

We’re already starting to see initial war dividends in the West Bank and Gaza. The scales are falling from some Palestinians’ eyes.

“The people are very angry with Saddam because they weren’t aware that he was such a big dictator…”

Comes from watching too much CNN…

Hafez al-Barghouti, editor of the daily Al-Hayat al- Jadeeda, launched an unprecedented and scathing attack on Saddam and other Arab dictators, saying no one will shed a tear if they are targeted by the Americans.

“We won’t cry for Arab regimes that don’t give their constituents any freedom other than the liberty to shout slogans,” he said. “No Arab will cry for his leader because Washington won’t be able to steal more than what the leader has already stolen from his people. Nor will the US humiliate the Arabs more than their leaders have already humiliated them.”

They’re still not ready for the full twelve-step program, though:

…commentators have been careful not to include Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat in the list of corrupt Arab dictators who should step aside, though some have hinted that he, too, needs to learn the lesson.

Of course, like Saddam, it will be easier to criticize him once he’s out of power.

They’re Starting To Get It

We’re already starting to see initial war dividends in the West Bank and Gaza. The scales are falling from some Palestinians’ eyes.

“The people are very angry with Saddam because they weren’t aware that he was such a big dictator…”

Comes from watching too much CNN…

Hafez al-Barghouti, editor of the daily Al-Hayat al- Jadeeda, launched an unprecedented and scathing attack on Saddam and other Arab dictators, saying no one will shed a tear if they are targeted by the Americans.

“We won’t cry for Arab regimes that don’t give their constituents any freedom other than the liberty to shout slogans,” he said. “No Arab will cry for his leader because Washington won’t be able to steal more than what the leader has already stolen from his people. Nor will the US humiliate the Arabs more than their leaders have already humiliated them.”

They’re still not ready for the full twelve-step program, though:

…commentators have been careful not to include Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat in the list of corrupt Arab dictators who should step aside, though some have hinted that he, too, needs to learn the lesson.

Of course, like Saddam, it will be easier to criticize him once he’s out of power.

They’re Starting To Get It

We’re already starting to see initial war dividends in the West Bank and Gaza. The scales are falling from some Palestinians’ eyes.

“The people are very angry with Saddam because they weren’t aware that he was such a big dictator…”

Comes from watching too much CNN…

Hafez al-Barghouti, editor of the daily Al-Hayat al- Jadeeda, launched an unprecedented and scathing attack on Saddam and other Arab dictators, saying no one will shed a tear if they are targeted by the Americans.

“We won’t cry for Arab regimes that don’t give their constituents any freedom other than the liberty to shout slogans,” he said. “No Arab will cry for his leader because Washington won’t be able to steal more than what the leader has already stolen from his people. Nor will the US humiliate the Arabs more than their leaders have already humiliated them.”

They’re still not ready for the full twelve-step program, though:

…commentators have been careful not to include Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat in the list of corrupt Arab dictators who should step aside, though some have hinted that he, too, needs to learn the lesson.

Of course, like Saddam, it will be easier to criticize him once he’s out of power.

Back To Business As Usual

Two and a half months ago, in a paroxysm of sheared metal, and gouts of tortured ceramics and human flesh and bone, we lost another shuttle orbiter and its crew.

The title of this post has a dual meaning. Thankfully, the war is essentially over, and rather than writing about how we will (not might, but will) overcome this temporary diversion by a legion of soulless monsters who revel in destroying life, I can return to reflecting on the more long-term and significant issue of how to ultimately expand that life into the universe.

When it comes to space policy (as indeed, when it comes to policy in general) I tend to have a cynical and skeptical outlook. But even I harbored some frail hope that that dramatic event might result in a rethinking of our so-far disastrous approach to opening up the high frontier (assuming, with thin basis, that this was a national goal)–that it would be a sobering event to even the most jaded and crass arbiters of well-marbled pork that is our current space program.

Sadly, cynicism once again rules the day. This Florida Today article demonstrates amply that nothing has changed. The title is “Columbia disaster fails to inspire space policy.” And, as always, space policy fails to inspire me, or anyone who wants us to become a truly space-faring nation, in which trips to space are no more notable than trips across the Atlantic, or across the American continent.

Here’s another depressing example of the moribund state of policy thinking, even (or especially) post-Columbia. It is the Congressional testimony of one of the usual suspects, space policy “expert” Marcia Smith of the Library of Congress.

I’ve previously discussed and critiqued it here.

Here’s the problem. We just fought, and won, a war in less than a month.

We did so because many people believed that it was important to do so–that a failure would result in not just a loss of international prestige, but potentially massive loss of human life. Accordingly, they gave the effort the resources it required, and put in place incentives to ensure that the desired results would be achieved.

The military has its own pork-barrel problems, but it ultimately has a bottom line. If it fails in its mission, it can result in not only the death of members of the military, but perhaps the nation itself, so there is an ultimate check on the degree to which politics can determine decisions at the Pentagon.

It has accountability.

NASA is different.

Despite all the lofty speeches, the recitations of Lieutenant Magee’s poem, the solemn promises to build a new space program on the rent bodies of the dead astronauts, it’s clear that the only goal that is truly important in the space program, as always since the end of Apollo (and it was a significant goal then), is to ensure that the requisite jobs are delivered to the requisite Congressional districts.

No President will lose an election, and few, if any, Congresspeople will, if we haven’t made much progress in settling the high frontier. Indeed, the only election that I can think of in which space was an issue, it was a negative one. Senator Jack Schmitt, a scientist astronaut, lost his New Mexico Senate seat. His opponent’s motto? “What on earth has Jack Schmitt done for New Mexico?”

Even if the American people cared, we don’t even have any useful yardsticks by which to measure our progress in such an endeavor, at least not any that can be calibrated against other standards, others’ progress. When the people have had it drilled into them for decades that Space Is Hard, by the only entity provided with the funding needed to accomplish anything in that new environment, who is to gainsay it?

Space remains a monopoly of a state socialist enterprise, and one that ensures that there is no competition to shine any light on its lack of success, or even a definition of it. Until we recognize that as a problem, rather than a solution, and until we decide that actual achievement in space should take priority over which NASA center (if any) achieves it, and until we harness our natural qualities of flexibility and free enterprise that have made us so successful globally, in peace and war, our species, and life itself will continue to be tethered, on a very short leash, to the single planet on which it evolved.

The Tradition Lives On

Picking up the dropped baton from late, lamented Skippy, Michael Moore attempts to cheer up the troops in utter defiance of reality, saying that “progressivism” will prevail.

To cheers and boisterous clapping, he told the crowd that liberals and progressives are the majority and exhorted locals to run for Democratic precinct offices to help win the White House and Congress in 2004….

…He was at his most plaintive when he questioned the war and those who have died fighting it. “I say this with all the respect it deserves: What did they die for? What did any of these kids die for?”

Don’t ask a bunch of college kids in Seattle, Mike.

Ask an Iraqi mother whose child is no longer in prison. Ask a young Iraqi girl who no longer has to fear being randomly picked up off the street, raped by Prince Uday, having her head shaved, and thrown into a stinking hell pit to be forgotten. Ask the man with the hole in his hand, whose torment is finally ended.

For an answer to those questions, look into the now-happy eyes of the man with no tongue to speak.

Small Wonder

They’re now able to do stop-action photography on atoms and electrons.

On a somewhat larger – but still microscopic – scale, biologists can peer into the nucleus of a living cell and spy on the interaction of proteins, the basic building blocks of every organism. “We’re watching the dance of the proteins in action,” molecular biologist David Piwnica-Worms, also at Washington University, said.

For example, Douglass Forbes, a biologist at the University of California, San Diego, has made movies of proteins shuttling cargo in and out of the nucleus of a cell through miniature, doughnut-shaped pores. “They’re like small spaceships for nuclear transport,” Forbes said.

The implications of this are immense.