All posts by Rand Simberg

Norm Mineta Knows Best

I made the mistake of listening to NPR again this morning, and they had a story about airline security that had me chewing ten-penny nails, due to both the story itself, and their coverage of it.

I only caught the tail end, but apparently some federal Air Marshals arrived late for an American flight, and tried to commandeer seats in first class, insisting that the passengers whose seats they wanted be put off the plane. Their excuse was that they needed to be able to see the cockpit. The airline had given them aisle seats in the front of coach, with a clear view, but that wasn’t good enough for them. Perhaps they wanted to get the free booze, to complement their intoxication with power. The airline didn’t let them get away with it, but it wasn’t clear what the outcome was (the story’s over at NPR in audio, but my sound card is on the fritz right now).

But what really fried me was the ending. The reporter says that there’s an inherent tension between the government, which wants to fight terrorism, and the airlines, who want to generate revenue.

She really said it, just like that. As though the airline has no intrinsic interest in fighting terrorism, as though they’d cheerfully set up charter flights full of Al Qaeda operatives, even help them plan the flight, from takeoff to skyscraper, as long as they got paid.

She got it precisely reversed, of course. The airlines are taking a balanced approach–they are interested in both fighting terrorism and staying in business, whereas the government, at least if we are to judge by its actions, has no interest in the financial health of the industry whatsoever.

This reminds me of the old arguments about how we needed more government regulation on aircraft maintenance and procedures, because in its absence, the airlines would cut corners, and skimp, and crash airplanes, and kill people.

It never seems to occur to these nimrods that crashing airplanes is bad for business. For some unaccountable reason, people don’t like to fly on airlines whose planes fall out of the sky with any regularity. Insurance carriers won’t give very good rates to airlines whose airplanes have to be replaced often. Airlines will have trouble hiring employees who feel that they’re taking their lives in their hands on every trip.

No one has more incentive than an airline to make an aircraft safe, whether from mechanical failure, or from nutballs with box cutters.

On the other hand, government bureaucrats will fanatically seek safety, to the exclusion of all else, including the rights of passengers and their willingness to tolerate the disastrous state of air travel today, because they know that if there is another hijacking, they’ll be blamed, particularly now that air security has been made a federal responsibility.

But no bureaucrat will suffer if an airline goes under–there are too many other excuses that they can use to deflect blame.

And no bureaucrat will lose his job because of marketing trips not made, hands not shaken, deals not done, acquaintances not made, wealth and jobs not created, because it’s just gotten to be too much of a pain in the ass to fly. But the damage to the economy will continue unabated and silently.

This is another reason why the federalization of this function has been, and is going to continue to be, so disastrous for the industry–there’s no counterbalance to the madness.

Bellicose Coeds

Here’s a little whining in the Paper Formerly Known As The Paper Of Record about the fact that handguns have become fashionable among coeds at Mt. Holyoke.

Defenders of guns can intelligently argue that, as with fast cars, the pleasures of gun ownership are worth the increased mortality. That is an opinion with which one can agree or disagree. Likewise, it is true that the overwhelming majority of guns will be used responsibly (from the point of view of everyone except hungry coyotes). But it is pointless to try to deny the link between more handguns and increased murder and suicide.

Pointless? I suppose. Unless you’re actually familiar with the data and statistics…

NRA’s Candidate Loses In CA

It seems that the White House wasn’t the only one to back the wrong horse in the Republican primary. The NRA apparently screwed up as well–it was urging its members to vote for Bill Jones. Presumably, they didn’t take Simon seriously enough, and thought that the race was between Jones and Riordan. Then, even after it became clear that Simon was the Second-Amendment candidate with the best chance, they didn’t want to go back on their endorsement, but risked splitting the conservative vote.

They’ve gotten themselves a black eye with a lot of conservatives in California as a result. One expects that they’ll now endorse Simon for the general election.

NRA’s Candidate Loses In CA

It seems that the White House wasn’t the only one to back the wrong horse in the Republican primary. The NRA apparently screwed up as well–it was urging its members to vote for Bill Jones. Presumably, they didn’t take Simon seriously enough, and thought that the race was between Jones and Riordan. Then, even after it became clear that Simon was the Second-Amendment candidate with the best chance, they didn’t want to go back on their endorsement, but risked splitting the conservative vote.

They’ve gotten themselves a black eye with a lot of conservatives in California as a result. One expects that they’ll now endorse Simon for the general election.

NRA’s Candidate Loses In CA

It seems that the White House wasn’t the only one to back the wrong horse in the Republican primary. The NRA apparently screwed up as well–it was urging its members to vote for Bill Jones. Presumably, they didn’t take Simon seriously enough, and thought that the race was between Jones and Riordan. Then, even after it became clear that Simon was the Second-Amendment candidate with the best chance, they didn’t want to go back on their endorsement, but risked splitting the conservative vote.

They’ve gotten themselves a black eye with a lot of conservatives in California as a result. One expects that they’ll now endorse Simon for the general election.

Another Riordan Autopsy

I don’t agree with Dan Weintraub that often, but I think that he’s nailed it here:

Way ahead in the early polls, Riordan expected a coronation but found himself in an election instead. He ran as a leader and a competent manager. But given the way he managed his own campaign, or failed to, it’s probably best that he’ll never get the chance to run the state.

More Good News For Bill Simon

The budget crisis in Sacramento may affect California’s bond ratings with S&P. This bombshell will hit this summer, when people are starting to pay attention to the race.

While Davis is indeed a vicious campaigner, I don’t think that anything that he can do at this point can reverse his negatives in peoples’ minds. The Republicans could probably run Goofy against him and win in November. Simon is still ahead in the latest Field Poll (though it’s within the margin of error).

But when an incumbent can only get 40% support for reelection right after the primary, he’s in deep, deep kimchi.

Real-Time Rall

He’s about to be interviewed on Fox News.

[a few minutes later]

He looks almost like a normal person. I guess I shouldn’t be surprised, but I always imagine him as looking like one of his own characters (his art imitates his life, as it were).

His excuse is that he wasn’t going after the bereaved, per se–just the ones who have put themselves in the news and gone on Larry King.

According to him, we’re just too dumb to understand the nuance of his art.