Category Archives: Business

Business, Economics, Political Commentary, Space, Technology and Society

OCST And The FAA

The biggest news from #CST2017 yesterday was probably Jim Bridenstine’s speech at lunch. Keith Cowing has a list of notes from it. It was a good speech, but to my ears, this was the only one that was news:

FAA office commercial space has battles within FAA. Reorganization needed. Looking for Trump to elevate office

To elaborate, while he floated this idea as a possibility in the Space Renaissance Act, this is the first time (AFAIK) that he clearly stated publicly that he wanted to see the president reverse the Executive Order in the Clinton administration that had folded the Office of Commercial Space Transportation into the FAA, and restore its original location, reporting directly to the Secretary of Transportation. I explained in my book why I thought this was a good idea. He only mentioned the fact that it would have more clout in budget battles, but the other point is that, since the ValuJet crash in the Everglades in the late 90s, the FAA lost its role as a promoter of the aviation industry, and I think this has resulted in a culture clash with OCST, which retains it, having to balance it against safety uber alles.

I talked to the Congressman briefly after the talk, and he told me he recalled my giving him a copy of the book three (!) years ago, and said he’d read it. Maybe he’ll go back and re-read it now. If so, given that he heartily endorsed SLS/Orion, I hope he’ll go back and re-read the appendix on that subject, but it may be that his endorsement had the same intended purpose as Alan Stern’s.

Business, Economics, Media Criticism, Political Commentary, Space, Technology and Society

CSF And SLS

1 Comment

Keith Cowing made a big deal of Tuesday’s announcement at the Space Transportation Conference by the Commercial Spaceflight Federation that it supported SLS.

I didn’t actually talk to Alan about it, but I just see it as politics; they view it as the danegeld they have to pay to keep the SLS vandals (to mix historical metaphors) from attacking commercial space and public/private partnerships in the new administration. This is the key passage, if you read between the lines:

Stern said he was not worried about endorsing a vehicle that could compete with those commercial alternatives. “The market will sort that out,” he said.

Emphasis mine. I’m not saying that Keith is wrong. Alan may not have “taken the issue off the table,” but I see no big harm in trying right now, with all the policy ferment. There will be plenty of other people (including Yours Truly) making the case against it.

[Update a while later]

Marcia Smith has a comprehensive overview of the conference. I haven’t read all yet, but may comment further after I have.

Business, Economics, Media Criticism, Political Commentary

Marine Le Pen

32 Comments

…is really quite left wing.

In many ways, so is Trump.

[Update a few minutes later]

In reading, I see he made the same point:

Mme Le Pen is offering more of the medicine that sickened the patient. Protectionism and welfarism are the causes of France’s troubles. The French budget has not been in balance since 1974. In order to defend the privileges of state employees, successive governments have allowed the country as a whole to become less competitive, more strike-prone, more sclerotic and poorer.

It’s the same story every time. Protectionism inflicts the greatest harm on the least well off – who are often, paradoxically, its supporters. The Corn Laws were a massive wealth transfer from the poor to the rich. The Smoot-Hawley tariffs brought misery to America’s workers. Today’s anti-market agitators – the Trumps and the Tsiprases as much as the Le Pens – will find the same thing.

Indeed.

Business, Economics, Media Criticism, Political Commentary, Space, Technology and Society

Commercial Crew Problems

1 Comment

This is why the rumors of delay to 2019. But this is crazy:

The final GAO report also will to delve into unrelated issues that threaten to delay initial launches of manned capsules by SpaceX and rival Boeing Co. Echoing conclusions of other studies by outside experts, GAO investigators have determined that both companies are likely to miss a 2018 deadline to start regular missions ferrying astronauts to the international space station.

According to industry officials familiar with the draft report, the GAO also pinpointed frequent modifications of Falcon 9 designs as a potential source of delays in obtaining NASA certification of the booster.

For Boeing, these officials said, GAO investigators—among other items—raised questions about the status of tests to determine the reliability of its parachute systems designed to help returning manned capsules land safely.

The GAO also has determined that both companies face an uphill struggle to meet NASA’s statistical goal of no more than one projected astronaut fatality in 270 flights, industry officials said.

The 1/270 requirement is completely arbitrary, and they will never know whether or not they’ve met it. Also, pretty sure that’s an LOC (loss of crew) number, not “astronaut fatality.” A career-ending injury would count, too.

[Update a while later]

SpaceX says they have a plan to fix the turbine-blade issue. It hasn’t caused any problem to date, but as Fernholz says, if you’re going to reuse engines, you can’t have blade deterioration.