Category Archives: Business

John Tierney

on the new space policy. And he graciously cites my piece in The New Atlantis from last summer. He also has a report from the Cape today. It’s interesting that no one has mentioned yesterday’s Gagarin and Shuttle anniversaries. I actually worked them into my Popular Mechanics piece, but they were edited out, presumably because they seemed a little tangential. I imagine that next April 12th, on the fiftieth and thirtieth anniversaries, respectively, people will make a much bigger deal of them. And I hope by then we’re seeing some real progress in the new direction.

[Both Tierney links via Clark Lindsey]

The Stages Of Grief

With the exception of ATK, the contractors seem to have reached acceptance:

Pratt & Whitney Rocketdyne, which has a manufacturing plant in West Palm Beach, is not the only aerospace giant turning their back on Constellation. Boeing Co. also appears to be joining the ditch-the-Ares crowd.

During every shuttle launch, Boeing publishes a “Reporter’s Notebook” full of facts,figures and puffery about NASA’s latest orbiter mission. These are handed out with other freebies to journalists, VIPs and anybody else looking for launch SWAG. Every notebook always starts with a section on Constellation.

“The vision to inspire begins with a dream of hope and knowledge and ends with a mission of purpose and realization,” it began — that is until now.

The Constellation section vanished from the latest notebook prepared for the STS-131 flight of Discovery’s resupply mission to the space station. The cut was not unintentional or left for keen-eyed reporters to discover on their own like old Soviet-era readers looking for possible changes in Politburo by reading the Pravda newspaper to see whose name was left out of stories. No. In this case the change was pointed out, somewhat boastfully by Boeing spokesman Ed Memi.

“Hey Bobby, you’ll see that we finally took out the Constellation section of the notebook,” Memi said as I picked one up early on Monday morning ahead of the launch.

ATK remains in either denial or anger, though they may be starting to bargain. And of course, there are payoffs, such as the new engine development for P&W. But as for the Program of Record, it’s dead, Jim.

So What About The Jobs?

I got an email today, that I thought I’d just publish:

People don’t seem to be to sympathetic to the workers who will lose their jobs with the loss of the shuttle and Constellation. If I understand you correctly, neither program should be continued just for jobs. I tend to agree with that, however, what should be done to help the people who will lose their jobs?

It would be interesting to know more about the employment situation, what type of jobs will be lost, how easy or hard it will be for workers to find new jobs, and if the government has any ideas on helping these people find work.

Do you think that there will be skilled workers who will now start their own space related companies?

Any insights would be appreciated.

Others may have better insight than I. But I would note that generally, if some event results in a loss of jobs in an area with a jobs shortage, people tend to have to move. It’s a very tough time for those losing NASA-related jobs, because it’s a tough job market out there. On the other hand, a lot of people are hurting, and might even resent the notion that there’s something special about space jobs that those losing them should get special treatment.

This may in fact have been an historical high-water mark for space-related Brevard County employment, and the end of a half-century era, when the region boomed due to a fortunate happenstance of geography. But the fundamental problem of space is the high cost of access to it. And in principle, if not practice, the purpose of NASA spending should not be job creation, but wealth or knowledge creation. If we are to reduce the costs of space transportation, we need to either reduce the number of people who work on it (because their paychecks and benefits are where the vast majority of those costs come from) or dramatically increase their productivity. Neither Shuttle or Constellation offered any prospects for doing that. Commercial might, in the longer run, but it’s not going to do anything to help the current NASA work force.

And if we develop the kinds of vehicles that we need for true significant cost reduction (fully reusable), there’s nothing magic about the Cape, in terms of launch location. So I don’t expect to ever see the levels of space employment there again that we saw from the Cold-War-legacy program. That’s a reality with which the local officials are simply going to have to come to grips.