Category Archives: Mathematics
COBOL
Want to make money? Brush up on it, or learn it.
Remdesivir
…seems to be at least somewhat effective.
If we can find what works for treatment, and only isolate the most vulnerable, that’s the best path forward to re-open the economy in the absence of a vaccine.
[Update a while later]
Time to dump epidemic models? All models are wrong, some are useful, but it’s not clear that these have been, though they’ve certainly been used to implement policies that a lot of people wanted to implement before the pandemic.
[Bumped]
A New Fundamental Theory Of Physics
Has Wolfram found one?
Haven’t read this yet, but I’m looking forward to it.
The Models
…were flawed and misleading.
As with climate, models are not science.
California
Has it been here (at least in the Bay Area) a lot longer than we thought? I think it’s quite plausible that it was here in December, which in a sense is good news, because it probably means we already have a lot more herd immunity than we thought, and the fatality rate is much lower than earlier fears.
Optimism
We are 100 times safer now than in early March. Hope this is right.
Potential Treatments
The world’s largest supercomputer has found 77 of them.
That’s fast, but faster, please.
Testing Efficiency
This is the way to do it.
As the thread points out, you could just do one test per household, on the assumption that if one is infected, all are or will be. Hope the CDC/White House are aware of this thinking, because it makes a hell of a lot of sense to accelerate our knowledge of the scope.
[Early-afternoon update]
Turns out there’s a rapid-test device already available in hospitals.
Coronavirus Deaths
When are they actually coronavirus deaths?
Dying with coronavirus does not necessarily imply dying from it.