Cory Doctorow needs the solution to one for a story.
There is no analytical solution to his problem — you really have to do a sim.
Cory Doctorow needs the solution to one for a story.
There is no analytical solution to his problem — you really have to do a sim.
…should be treated like horoscopes.
We now know that the models can’t even forecast the past (and they’re extremely shoddy work on inspection), and they want us to rely on them to make trillion-dollar decisions?
…and global warming. I have some thoughts on regret over at PJM.
[Update a few minutes later]
Brian Micklethwait agrees with me on where the burden of proof now lies.
Iowahawk takes a break from satire for a serious post explaining how to build your own hockey stick at home. Really.
I think I’ve found the pseudocode for Mann’s temperature charts:
input hockey_stick array
input year_data array
For each year (1000 - 2009) {
while (year_data_of_year less than hockey_stick_of_year) {
if (year_data_of_year less than hockey_stick_of_year) {
year_data_of_year += 0.1 degrees
}
}
plot year_data_of_year
}
See, nothing to it. Poor Harry wouldn’t have had so much frustration if he’d just stuck with the script.
How low can the resolution go?
I scored about a five, which puts me in with most of the herd. I was best at judging right angles (typically close to a one) and splitting them, and worst at judging distance (centering the line and circle, where I averaged nine or so).
As Joe Katzman says, it’s hard to know whether this should be comforting, or frightening:
Within fifty generations of this electronic evolution, co-operative societies of robots had formed – helping each other to find food and avoid poison. Even more amazing is the emergence of cheats and martyrs. Transistorized traitors emerged which wrongly identified poison zone as food, luring their trusting brethren to their doom before scooting off to silently charge in a food zone – presumably while using a mechanical claw to twirl a silicon carving of a handlebar moustache.
You might be upset by this result, scientific proof that those who say “Evil is utterly fundamental to human nature” actually understates the scope of the problem, there were also silicon souls on the side of the angels. Some robots advanced fearlessly into poison zones, flashing warning lights to keep other robots out of harms way.
This seems to be congruent with Axelrod’s work. I wonder if the successful ones use Tit for Tat?
So, do they have free will?
Explained: