Category Archives: Media Criticism

Should NASA Be Doing More Asteroids?

This article at Slate says so, but there are some unfounded assumptions in it:

What should be NASA’s most important task — keeping the Earth, and America, safe from asteroid and comet impact — is barely mentioned in its latest strategic plan, released earlier this week. Planning for a mission to deflect a potential cataclysm is left to private organizations like the B612 Foundation, in which a number of engineers and scientists with years of experience with NASA are involved. It’s even headed by former astronaut Ed Lu. But this is too important a task to be left to philanthropists and retirees like the B612 crowd. However laudable their efforts, they lack the resources and capability that the government has. Keeping its citizens safe is the foundational responsibility of government. And in this respect, NASA has been heedless of its responsibilities.

This is just another example of “Space = NASA” thinking. In fact, the reason that there is nothing in NASA’s strategic plan about this is that it has no charter about planetary protection, and it is not currently its “responsibility.” If you think otherwise, go look at the Space Act, and tell me where it is.

In fact, it’s not at all clear that NASA is the right place for this to happen, particularly given all its chronic organizational dysfunction. I would submit that there is currently no government agency chartered to protect the planet. I think I’m going to write up an op-ed or two declaring that it’s time to fundamentally reorganize the federal space establishment, including the formation of the Space Guard.

[Update a while later]

To elaborate, let’s go into the objectives of the agency (just typing out loud here):

(1) The expansion of human knowledge of the Earth and of phenomena in the atmosphere and space.

(2) The improvement of the usefulness, performance, speed, safety, and efficiency of aeronautical and space vehicles.

(3) The development and operation of vehicles capable of carrying instruments, equipment, supplies, and living organisms through space.

(4) The establishment of long-range studies of the potential benefits to be gained from, the opportunities for, and the problems involved in the utilization of aeronautical and space activities for peaceful and scientific purposes.

(5) The preservation of the role of the United States as a leader in aeronautical and space science and technology and in the application thereof to the conduct of peaceful activities within and outside the atmosphere.

(6) The making available to agencies directly concerned with national defense of discoveries that have military value or significance, and the furnishing by such agencies, to the civilian agency established to direct and control nonmilitary aeronautical and space activities, of information as to discoveries which have value or significance to that agency.

(7) Cooperation by the United States with other nations and groups of nations in work done pursuant to this chapter and in the peaceful application of the results thereof.

(8) The most effective utilization of the scientific and engineering resources of the United States, with close cooperation among all interested agencies of the United States in order to avoid unnecessary duplication of effort, facilities, and equipment.

(9) The preservation of the United States preeminent position in aeronautics and space through research and technology development related to associated manufacturing processes.

Now (1) could clearly include looking for rogue asteroids.

(2) and (3) aren’t relevant.

(4) could potentially encompass looking into things like gravity tractors and other means of diversion, if you want to consider not being slammed by a space rock a “potential benefit,” but it doesn’t say that the agency would actually execute such plans.

(5) is too vague to be useful for this (as it always is).

(6) could include telling the DoD about asteroid diversion techniques, assuming that you consider diverting an asteroid a national defense activity, rather than simply managing nature (e.g., flood control or forest management to prevent major fires).

(7) could apply, but it would just be an excuse to get together with other countries to do whatever NASA wanted, not because it’s intrinsically in its wheelhouse.

(8) doesn’t really seem applicable, nor does (9) unless you consider learning how to herd asteroids the development of a new manufacturing process.

Really, folks, it wasn’t what Congress had in mind when they created the agency, and nothing they’ve done to amend it since has substantially changed that. If we’re serious about asteroids, we need to set up an agency that will be focused on that, and not diverted by a bunch of other politically driven things.

One other point. Ed Wright notes in comments: “The National Academy of Sciences bashed the idea of a manned asteroid mission in its recent report on NASA priorities. They see asteroids solely as objects of scientific study and believe unmanned missions are good enough for that.”

The other unfounded and unexamined assumption is that we too strongly correlate space with science. This is probably one of the biggest policy myths that has been holding us back for decades, because the whole idea of a civil space agency developed out of the International Geophysical Year in 1958, and since then, everyone has assumed that NASA’s primary job is to do science. It’s been almost impossible to break out of that mindset and think in terms of space development and settlement. I’m not sure that we’ll ever be able to sever the connection, so it would be better to establish new national goals for space, one of which would be planetary protection, but another would be to enable space commerce including transportation (e.g. search and rescue, constabulary duties, etc.), and set up a new agency (Space Guard) that won’t be distracted by “science” and about whom the National Academy will have nothing to say, to execute them.

Chelyabinsk: What Just Happened?

My thoughts over at PJMedia.

[Update a few minutes later]

Deep Space Industries has already jumped on the PR opportunity:

McLEAN, VA – February 15 – Today’s impact in Russia and the near miss by
asteroid 2012 DA14 should shock the world into creating a sentry line of
spacecraft circling the Earth to intercept and evaluate incoming threats, Deep
Space Industries proposed.

“The hundreds of people injured in northern Russia show it’s time to take action
and no longer be passive about these threats,” said Rick Tumlinson, chairman of
Deep Space Industries.

Deep Space Industries proposes establishing several sentry lines encircling
Earth with small spacecraft able to dart after intruders to get close-in photos
and data as they pass. Over time additional spacecraft able to grab samples for
analysis on Earth would join the sentry lines.

Not all asteroids are the same, and to be ready to deflect one that’s on a
dangerous trajectory the world needs to know more about their structure and
composition. Many may be solid but all photos so far have shown gravel and rock
piles. A defense plan assuming the wrong type could make matters worse.

“Placing ten of our small FireFly spacecraft into position to intercept close
encounters would take four years and less than $100 million,” said David Gump,
CEO of Deep Space Industries. “This will help the world develop the
understanding needed to block later threats.”

There are estimated to be more than 10,000 near Earth asteroids that could
destroy a major city and a hundred that would end civilization. Near Earth
asteroids are confirmed at a rate of more than 900 per year, but as yet little
is known about their composition and structure.

“Observations by space telescopes like the Sentinel planned by the B612
Foundation and the smaller units offered by Planetary Resources should be
supported,” Tumlinson said. “Astronomical observations are a good first step but
at Deep Space we believe we need get up close and personal. Then when these
objects are identified, we can launch one or more FireFlies to intercept them,
and give us close-up images so that we understand what we are dealing with.”

Deep Space Industries is preparing the FireFly series to begin prospecting in
2015 for asteroids that are very small, five to seven meters in diameter. The
same FireFly prospecting design would be used in the sentry line of asteroid
interceptors.

Then in 2020, Deep Space will bring one of these tiny rocks back to a parking
orbit near Earth to be harvested for its water, rocket fuel, and metals for
in-space customers such as communications satellites that have run out of gas.
The larger harvesting spacecraft might be the basis for interceptors that could
nudge larger threats into trajectories that miss Earth.

In the coming months Deep Space Industries will be offering plans to develop a
coordinated low-cost commercial solution to setting up humanity’s first line of
defense against asteroid threats.

“While our primary mission is the harvesting of asteroid resources, we believe
that virtually the same effort and technology can be applied to removing this
threat to our precious planet,” Tumlinson said.

I suspect Planetary Resources won’t be far behind.

Commercial Crew

Jeff Foust is reporting that the sequestration will bring it to a halt. And then there’s this:

NASA’s Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion crew exploration vehicle would not be directly affected by the cuts.

Insanity.

[Update a couple minutes later]

A commenter says it may not be as bad as it appears (or at least, it’s not much worse than the status quo, given that Congress refuses to fund it adequately).

It always hurts my head to try to get it wrapped around the entrails of budget issues, but I’ll dig into it further (and be interested to see what Major Tom has to say).

The National Conversation On Guns

Apparently it’s supposed to be a monologue:

At a meeting, two firearms experts came forward to speak, bringing with them two common Ruger 10/22 rifles that had been cleared by security. The purpose of their presentation was to explain how the gun-control laws currently being proposed would outlaw only a gun’s cosmetic features while not affecting the functionality of the firearms in any measurable way in terms of rate of fire and accuracy.

In the video, DFL legislators simply arise and exit without explanation. They avoid learning details from the presentation about the very firearms they seek to legislate out of existence.

By “national conversation” they always mean “We’re going to lecture you, and you’re going to knuckle under, because shut up.”

Women

How some of them ruin everything for women.

Obviously, an unwelcome stolen kiss is rude. But “rapey”? Really?

Just another example of how the seventies feminists went more than a bridge too far.

And no, I’m not going to do my standard spiel about how Valentine’s Day is part of the war on men, but Jim Geraghty has some good thoughts.

But I will repeat that I always laugh when I hear about women wanting to know what men want on Valentine’s Day. Just show up. We’re not that hard to please. Especially for those of us who don’t have women.

And it’s not that long until Steak and a BJ Day (though I have to confess that when it comes to oral s3x, I think it’s far better to give than to receive, and I have no interest in watching fel**tio in pr0n).

The Hagel Filibuster

Dan Foster asks, “what’s the point?”:

Okay, so what are you going to learn about Hagel in the next ten days? Is there some bombshell you’ve got ready but you need a little more time to cross the Ts and dot the Is? Are you using this holdup as leverage to get something else you want? Do you think peeling ten days off the calendar is going to prevent Harry Reid from bringing some odious measure to the floor? If the answer to all of these questions is “no”, just what the hell is the point of waiting to confirm Hagel?

Don’t get me wrong. I think Hagel is an awful candidate who reflects his would-be boss’s low regard for the Pentagon. I think Hagel’s ceiling — his ceiling, people — is ineffectual bumbler disliked by Pentagon lifers. And I don’t think he has a floor. But, if you’re going to let this guy get confirmed, who’s soul do you think you’re saving by waiting ‘til next Monday to do it?

Well, there may be more things like this:

Chuck Hagel, whose nomination is currently being filibustered by Republicans, reportedly argued in a previously unknown speech that the U.S. State Department is controlled by the Israeli foreign ministry.

Picky, picky, picky.

Want A Concealed-Carry Permit In LA County?

Just make a campaign contribution to Lee Baca.

As Glenn notes, this is why the sheriff should have no such arbitrary power, which is only prevented by “shall issue.” Particularly since California took away open carry, making it almost impossible to defend yourself outside your home, I’d think that this would be ripe for a court challenge under Heller as a Second-Amendment breach.