Category Archives: Political Commentary

A Concern With Fred’s Departure

This provides a big opening for Huckabee in the south. He may pull votes that would have otherwise gone to Thompson because they don’t want to vote for a northeasterner or McCain.

Let’s hope it’s not enough to give him enough delegates to make a difference. That’s one of the reasons I wanted Thompson to stay in, at least through super Tuesday.

Pay To Stay

Bob Krumm is doing one final fund raiser to keep Thompson in the race.

[Update at 2:30 PM Eastern]

He’s out:

“Today I have withdrawn my candidacy for President of the United States. I hope that my country and my party have benefited from our having made this effort. Jeri and I will always be grateful for the encouragement and friendship of so many wonderful people.”

Not a surprise, but disappointing nonetheless.

Why Huckabee Won’t Win The Nomination

He can’t get votes other than from evangelicals. Good.

The question is, how long will he carry on? Unfortunately, it looks like he will go on for a while, because he seems to be having a good time, and he’ll probably continue to get funding from his own base.

One of the reasons that Thompson should stay in the race is that so many others are. As long as he persists (and if he can continue the momentum that he was starting to build out of South Carolina) he may be able to pick up enough delegates to have a seat at the table in Minneapolis (and an outside shot at becoming a consensus nominee). And he has to continue to pull conservative votes from Huckabee.

Why Huckabee Won’t Win The Nomination

He can’t get votes other than from evangelicals. Good.

The question is, how long will he carry on? Unfortunately, it looks like he will go on for a while, because he seems to be having a good time, and he’ll probably continue to get funding from his own base.

One of the reasons that Thompson should stay in the race is that so many others are. As long as he persists (and if he can continue the momentum that he was starting to build out of South Carolina) he may be able to pick up enough delegates to have a seat at the table in Minneapolis (and an outside shot at becoming a consensus nominee). And he has to continue to pull conservative votes from Huckabee.

Why Huckabee Won’t Win The Nomination

He can’t get votes other than from evangelicals. Good.

The question is, how long will he carry on? Unfortunately, it looks like he will go on for a while, because he seems to be having a good time, and he’ll probably continue to get funding from his own base.

One of the reasons that Thompson should stay in the race is that so many others are. As long as he persists (and if he can continue the momentum that he was starting to build out of South Carolina) he may be able to pick up enough delegates to have a seat at the table in Minneapolis (and an outside shot at becoming a consensus nominee). And he has to continue to pull conservative votes from Huckabee.

Remembering Doctor King

Wise words that many have forgotten. I’m sure that the anti-Zionist left will just think he’s an uppity negro, though.

[Update a few minutes later]

To commemorate the holiday, Alan Boyle has some useful links on the scientific bases (or not) of race. I agree that it’s much more a social construct than a scientific one.

[Mid-morning update]

An apt thought, that applies to fans of Mike Huckabee as well:

Identity politics is bad news. Today seems like a perfect day to reflect on that.

Hope Remains

Regardless of the outcome of today’s primary, Fred Thompson says that he’s going on to Florida.

Why not? Unless he seriously underperforms the polls tonight, he’s still got a significant amount of support, given that the winner is unlikely to even get a third of the vote. When people drop out for various reasons, their votes have to go somewhere. Where will Huckabee’s voters go? Where will McCain’s, if the only reason to vote for him is his Vietnam record and the war and they ignore his other positions? Not Huck. Probably not Romney. Though Rudy is a possibility. I don’t think that this race will be anywhere close to settled this weekend.

There are a lot of people who will continue to send money to Fred as long as they think he has a chance. And there’s still a non-zero possibility that this thing could go all the way to Minneapolis with no clear winner, which means that in a brokered convention, Thompson could have an edge. If this is true, and he remains in, I might even put up a Thompson sign on my lawn in Boca Raton.