Yes, the bureaucrats are pretending that it’s a required part of returning to the moon when, as Bob Zubrin has pointed out it’s a toll booth at best, and a likely roadblock, and there has been no public debate about its necessity.
It only looks ambitious in comparison to previous plans, not to serious plans. At best, it’s Apollo on steroids. And as he notes, there is no budget, either stated or actual.
They failed the acronym check on that one…
— Jonathan A. Goff (@rocketrepreneur) May 20, 2019
Steve Wolfe has been working on putting this together, in conjunction with the ISDC in a couple weeks. I’ll be doing a presentation there on space property rights for settlers.
A few months ago, I asked him to be on my advisory board for my new company. He thanked me for the offer, but told me he had to decline because there was a potential conflict of interest. But today he announced that he is going to be heading up a much more important advisory council. I think it’s a great choice.
Outside of transportation costs (which will be coming down), this is probably the biggest barrier to lunar development. It's really nasty stuff. https://t.co/aWWNanCABG
Lunar Dust Storms…? 🌪 I was interviewed here about Brian O’Brien, his Apollo Dust Detector Experiment, and how he solved (IMO) the long-standing mystery of lunar dust coating the Surveyor 3 spacecraft. This is a very fun read. https://t.co/cM4XgfUHsX
So I'm having an interesting discussion with @ericgregersen about how to get someone on the moon by 2024. Easiest way to do it would be to not bring them back (at least not immediately). You want a sustainable presence, start out sustaining it.
Remove the need to return them immediately and everything gets much easier. Apollo was hard because Kennedy required "return him safely to the earth. Remove that requirement, and things can get interesting.
Basically, you'd just need to periodically resupply with food, water, LiOH, etc., just like ISS. No need to even have suits or EVA. It would be a partial-gravity research lab. Put off the rest for later. Recycling urine would be easier than ISS with some gravity.
So, how much does that change requirements? It means no need for ascent on the lander, or entry from TEI. It’s probably a Falcon Heavy mission. We eliminate the initial need for a suit, too. Hardest part would be how to resupply without EVA capability.
Could NASA do it? Probably not, politically, but a private expedition could.