Category Archives: War Commentary

Iran In Panic?

Let’s hope so. At least, that is, as long as they don’t actually have nukes…

Why would the Syrian government be so tight-lipped about an act of war perpetrated on their soil? The first half of the answer lies in this story that appeared in the Israeli media last month (8/13): Syria’s Antiaircraft System Most Advanced In World. Syria has gone on a profligate buying spree, spending vast sums on Russian systems, ‘considered the cutting edge in aircraft interception technology.’ Syria now ‘possesses the most crowded antiaircraft system in the world,’ with ‘more than 200 antiaircraft batteries of different types,’ some of which are so new that they have been installed in Syria ‘before being introduced into Russian operation service.’ While you’re digesting that, take a look at the map of Syria: Notice how far away Dayr az-Zawr is from Israel. An F15/16 attack there is not a tiptoe across the border, but a deep, deep penetration of Syrian airspace. And guess what happened with the Russian super-hyper-sophisticated cutting edge antiaircraft missile batteries when that penetration took place on September 6th. Nothing.

El blanko. Silence. The systems didn’t even light up, gave no indication whatever of any detection of enemy aircraft invading Syrian airspace, zip, zero, nada. The Israelis (with a little techie assistance from us) blinded the Russkie antiaircraft systems so completely the Syrians didn’t even know they were blinded. Now you see why the Syrians have been scared speechless. They thought they were protected – at enormous expense – only to discover they are defenseless. As in naked. Thus the Great Iranian Freak-Out – for this means Iran is just as nakedly defenseless as Syria.

Couldn’t happen to a nicer government, if true.

And They Were So Close, Too

Syrian officials say that the IAF strike has severely damaged hopes for peace.

[Update at 6 PM Eastern]

Iran seems to be doubling down:

Iran is smuggling advanced weapons, including surface-to-air missiles, into Iraq to be used by extremists against American troops, the US military charged on Sunday.

US military spokesman Rear Admiral Mark Fox told reporters in Baghdad that Iran was shifting sophisticated arms such as “RPG-29s, explosively-formed penetrators (EFPs), 240 mm rockets and Misagh-1 surface-to-air missiles” across its borders into Iraq.

An EFP is a feared roadside bomb which when it explodes emits a white-hot slug of molten copper that can cut through the armoured skins of US military vehicles.

The Dog That Didn’t Bark?

Where was the vaunted “Arab street”? Where were the protests from the other Arab nations to the UN about Israel’s “aggression” against Syria?

Some interesting military and diplomatic analysis and discussion over at Tigerhawk’s place.

[Monday evening update]

Here’s a lot more. Can we officially replace Iraq with Syria as the newest member of the Axis of Evil now? Though hopefully one that may be treading a little more carefully, now that it knows (once again) that its air defenses are worthless.

And speaking of the old A of E, Iran’s war against us doesn’t seem to be going very well. Unfortunately, this doesn’t get covered much, either in the media, or in Congressional hearings.