The Case For No Stimulus

Don’t just do something — stand there:

The grand Keynesian myth is that you can spend money and thereby increase demand. And it’s a myth because Congress does not have a vault of money to distribute in the economy. Every dollar Congress injects into the economy must first be taxed or borrowed out of the economy. You’re not creating new demand, you’re just transferring it from one group of people to another. If Washington borrows the money from domestic lenders, then investment spending falls, dollar for dollar. If they borrow the money from foreigners, say from China, then net exports drop dollar for dollar, because the balance of payments must adjust. Therefore, again, there is no net increase in aggregate demand. It just means that one group of people has $800 billion less to spend, and the government has $800 billion more to spend.

And for those who say this a prescription for failed Hooverian laissez-faire policies, a) Hoover didn’t keep his hands off the economy — he undertook damaging measures in response to the Wall Street panic (e.g., raising taxes, and implementing protectionist measures) that turned it into a depression that FDR then prolonged and b) a true laissez-faire approach would be to undo the damage that overregulation in the economy has caused.

And here’s a good idea, too:

What about the idea of a moratorium on IRS audits for middle-class taxpayers (using any of Obama’s campaign-trail definitions, from $250K/yr on down) for at least a year? Obviously the IRS is short on auditors, so why not deploy them where they are most needed?”

I’d start with high government officials, since they seem to be poster children for tax evasion, based on Obama’s picks so far. And particularly since those same government officials are so vocal about the need to be (and “patriotism” of) paying your income tax. Maybe if these people had to actually pay the taxes for which they so vociferously shill, they might be a little more sympathetic to calls for rate reduction and simplification.

But probably not. They’re shameless.

[Update a few minutes later]

Victor Davis Hanson rightfully wonders about the implications for the “voluntary” and honor-based nature of the current tax code:

Millions of Americans don’t have either Daschle’s or Geithner’s resources, yet they pay dearly to go to accountants, honestly turn over all their records, and then pay the full amount of taxation in accordance with their understanding of the law, and the advice they receive from professional accountants.

Yet men both much richer and much more informed about the U.S. tax code not only don’t do that, but feel no compunction to rectify mistakes unless they cause embarrassment enough to thwart their careers. Two subtexts as well: there must be many more Daschles and Geithners floating around Washington who don’t show up on the radar unless they want a top political appointment; and, two, the old liberal creed that taxes are good and patriotic and are avoided by greedy, selfish conservative elites seems shattered by these examples.

Any more of these stories and we will be on very dangerous ground, since the message is a terrible one to the American people: You pay your full amount, but our elites not only do not, but won’t unless they get caught.

This is all about as good an argument for a flat tax as one can imagine.

Or getting rid of income tax entirely. Starting with corporate.

[Update a few minutes later]

Driving Mr. Daschle:

“The rumors are… drumroll please… true! You are now driving the next United States Secretary of Heath and Human Services!”

“Congratulations, Mr. Daschle. That sure sounds like quite an accomplishment.”

“Yes sirree bob. Quite an irony, isn’t it, Ernest?”

“How’s that, sir?”

“I mean, well, me, having an African-American as a boss. Well, not that it’s like I’m really your boss or anything. Us being good friends and all.”

“I guess not, sir.”

“But there’s this craziest thing, though.”

“What’s that?”

“Some stupid little tax complication.”

“It’s always something, I guess.”

“You said it, Ernest. Seems that there’s this rule that says that I have to claim these fun little drives of ours as income. Isn’t that crazy?”

“Yes sir, I guess so. That’s why I let H&R Block do mine.”

“I mean, we’re just out here havin’ a good time, Edward and Tom, two buddies out seeing the sights of Washington. So I asked my accountant, how in the world can that be taxable income?”

“No idea, Mr. Daschle.”

“Exactly. Now the accountant says I might be stuck with a $100,000 bill for it.”

“whewww! That’s a lot of money, sir.”

“So, I told that accountant that Ernest can’t help it if Mr. Hindery gives him a lot of free time to goof around with his old friend Tom.”

“If you say so, sir.”

“So, Ernest, I don’t want you to worry about getting into trouble. If you get called by the IRS men to testify, just tell them the truth. About how you really work for Mr. Hindrey, and how these all little joy rides of ours are just us playing hookey.”

“Hookey, sir?”

“Exactly! I’ve already talked to Mr. Hindery about it, and he is ready to forgive you. One other thing, Edward…”

“Ernest.”

“Damn! Sorry again. Out of curiosity, does A-1 Limousine keep records? About mileage and all that?”

“Yes sir. Very complete.”

“Passengers, and time and such?”

“Yes sir, it’s all in the computer. It’s how we get paid.”

“Shit.”

I’m sure it was all perfectly innocent. A mistake any tax/big-government hypocrite lobbyist could make.

[One more update]

It’s hard to see these numbers holding up if this continues. Frankly, I’d rather the sheep were less compliant with this extortion plan, so I actually hope to see the hypocrisy continue. I think that we need a little, or a big, tax revolt, and the behavior of the grandees of the Beltway seems almost calculated to bring one on.

Richardson’s Replacement

(Republican) New Hampshire Senator Judd Gregg has accepted President Obama’s nomination to be the new Secretary of Commerce. Apparently, a deal has been cut to allow this to occur without a change in the balance of power in the Senate, by having the Democrat governor appoint a Republican to replace him.

From a space standpoint, a lot of people in the commercial space community were excited about the Richardson pick, because of his very visible and active support of commercial space and space tourism. As head of the Commerce Department, he could have been helpful to that cause, through the Office of Commercial Space, and perhaps helping ameliorate ITAR and other regulatory issues. But Gregg is a cipher on these issues, so it isn’t clear whether this is good, bad or indifferent for commercial space. It’s probably not a subject to which he’s given much thought. On the other hand, he’s reportedly a smart guy, and perhaps educable if people can get to him early.

Stimulation Through Liberation

Iain Murray has some alternatives to the Democrats spending plans:

Any “stimulus” bill that doesn’t include relief from the provisions of the National Environmental Protection Act…isn’t going to get any infrastructure project going any time soon.

So if you want to stimulate, you’re going to have to liberate. Similar arguments can be made as regards Davis-Bacon and 13C. There are a bunch of other such ideas, which will also get the economy moving by getting government out of the way. For example, finally suspending mark-to-market accounting properly, which will be a huge boon to the banks. Or getting rid of the burdens of SarbOx and other ridiculous and ineffectual regulations on small businesses. Antitrust reform would help, too. And you could even think about finally getting rid of the Corporate Income Tax, a hold-over from the days when income tax itself was unconstitutional, and which, at least before the 2005 reforms, probably cost more to collect than it raised in income.

Somehow, I suspect that this will not be the preferred Democrat approach.

Now What Is Google Doing?

An emailer points out that a search for “Rand Simberg” in Google results in a malware warning for every single site associated with my name. However, it’s hard to take it personally, because apparently it is doing it with all searches (at least the few that I tried). Google has apparently decided that every site on the Internet is dangerous to your computer. I wonder if they have a new algorithm that’s screwed up?

[Update a few minutes later]

Whatever it was, they seem to have fixed it. I still have tab open with the problem showing, though. I guess I should take a screenshot.

[Early evening update]

For anyone curious, I didn’t do a screengrab, but here’s a sourcegrab from a typical search result this morning. A screengrab would be redundant at this point, since I could easily fake one from the source if I wanted to take the trouble to hack the HTML. But I didn’t. It’s the real deal.

[Update a couple minutes later]

Heh. I hadn’t noticed this the first time I looked. The only site that it doesn’t think will harm your computer is google.com.

[Monday afternoon update]

Here’s the story on what happened with Google.

[Bumped]

Six Years

It’s hard to believe, but the Columbia disintegrated, with seven crew, over the skies of Texas six years ago today. And our space policy remains as screwed up as ever.

[Update in the evening]

Clark Lindsey has links to some musical tributes to the disasters. Also, for those who missed the link on the earlier anniversaries this week, here are my thoughts a year ago on the cluster of space disasters at the end of January and early February.

[Bumped]

Off To CA

I have a 6:15 AM flight to LA in the morning, and am packing. I’ll have to deal with my computer problem when I get back. For now, I grabbed some data off the drives and put it on my file server so I could transfer it to my laptop, which will get me through the trip, which will be for the whole month of February (though I may come back for a weekend). Anyway, blogging may be light until tomorrow night.

Insane Commenters

Robert Oler has attempted to comment a few times over the past few weeks, but Word Press seems to be smart enough to not allow them through. I thought that I’d note this latest attempt, on this post, though:

well Rand ….you are the guy who believes in the Falwell theory of HRC murdering people…

Note first that it is a complete non sequitur in the context of the post.

Note second that this is nutty. I don’t even know what the “Fallwell theory of HRC murdering people” is, let alone believe in it. Robert apparently bought a copy of The Clinton Chronicles and then somehow has projected his fascination with it on to me (someone who has never even seen it).

I’m not sure why he engages in this kind of lunacy, but it is nice to have blog software that is smarter than him, so in general we don’t have to view it.

Biting Commentary about Infinity…and Beyond!