A New Day

I’m back at Holloman, almost half past eight in the morning. In theory, Armadillo should have headed out to the pad for another attempt about half an hour ago, and will try again at nine or so. I’m heading out there now to see if that’s the case, and if so, I’ll get some pictures.

[Update at 10 AM]

Scrubbed again. The first flight was successful, except it had another hard start. On the return attempt, it lit, lifted off for a few seconds, then aborted and sat back down. They performed some analysis for a few minutes, then announced that they weren’t going to attempt to fly again until they returned the vehicle and did some work on it. The current word is that they had another hard start and some anomalous pops, and decided to abort. Alan Boyle has more.

I just talked to Ken Davidian, who is in charge of NASA’s Centennial Challenges (where the prize money comes from), and he told me that it looked as though they were going to give Armadillo two more attempt windows today, one this afternoon (like yesterday) and one after the show ends at five or so.

I have to drive up to Albuquerque tonight for a flight back to Florida early in the morning, and was hoping to do it in daylight (because I’ve never done the route from Alamagordo), so I hope that they can nail it this afternoon.

Missed It By That Much

I missed the first flight, but it was successful. The second one was beautiful right up until the end, when the burn seemed to end prematurely, and the vehicle reportedly fell over on landing. It was difficult to see, because it was obscured by all the dust kicked up from the long hover. More pics in a few minutes.

[A few minutes later]

The above is the long shot from which the top picture was digitally zoomed (I took it with an 18x optical lens, 504mm equivalent).

Below is a picture of all the dust being kicked up during the hover.

They flew beautifully for the whole flight, but got back above the landing pad early (the flight has to be at least ninety seconds long). They were hovering for what seemed like almost half a minute. The announcer stated that they were hovering close to the ground so that if anything went wrong at the end, it wouldn’t have far to fall.

I’ve no idea what happened, so this is pure speculation. Perhaps they’re not used to flying in the dirt, and didn’t anticipate how much dust would be kicked up. If something in that cloud affected vehicle systems, it will be kind of ironic that in attempting to play it safe, they may have accidentally doomed the attempt at almost the last second.

In any event, John will have something to say shortly. All the money is still on the table. He gets two more tries tomorrow.

[Update a couple minutes later]

Wired (for whom a couple of stringers are sitting across from me) is covering it as well.

[Update at 3:45 MDT]

Clark has more, as does Jeff Foust, Alan Boyle and Leonard David.

[Update a little after four]

Alan Boyle told me that he talked to Neil Milburn, so this is second barstool down, but the prevailing theory seems to be that they had the same problem on the second flight as they did this morning–a restricted fuel line due to contamination. This morning it resulted in a failure to ignite. This afternoon, it resulted in a LOX-rich burn at a higher-than-normal temperature, which apparently cracked the combustion chamber a few seconds before the end of the flight. If so, so much for my “dust theory” above.

They have spare parts, so they can repair overnight and go for it again in the morning. I assume that part of the overnight maintenance will include a complete dismantling and cleansing of the propellant lines…

[Evening update]

You can probably find more details at other places, but my understanding is that they actually had a hard start (that’s a rocket engineering euphemism for “had an explosion in the combustion chamber at ignition”) on the return flight, and they were surprised that it lasted as long as it did, because it was apparently shedding parts through the whole flight. That would explain why they wanted to complete the trip so quickly and then just hover above the pad and hope that they could stay aloft for the full ninety seconds. They came pretty close.

Better luck on the morrow, with a rebuilt vehicle.

Off now to a Space Frontier Foundation reception at the Ramada in Las Cruces.

Try, Try Again

Armadillo just started back out to the pad for their afternoon attempt. They reportedly had a contaminated line, that they cleaned. Someone was asking me this morning what their chances are, and I (and most others) thought pretty good, given that they’ve already done it, just not here. But things can happen in transport, and things can happen in different venues, and there are no guarantees. The money may still be on the table at the end of the weekend. We’ll soon see, or at least we’ll soon see if they have to wait until tomorrow for one last attempt.

My problems with the Internet are everyone’s. The bandwidth is available in the press HQ, and it’s plentiful. Unfortunately, that building is a ten to fifteen minute walk from the press tent on the flight line, which has no power, and no Internet. It does have a good view, and shade though.

Here are some pictures:

This is the backup to “Mod,” the Level 1 vehicle that was hastily thrown together to replace “Texel, which died in a fire during a test a couple months ago. At the time this was taken, the primary version hadn’t come back from the aborted attempt this morning.

The above is a view of the return of the vehicles after this morning’s scrub. “Pixel” (shown below closeup, and the Level 2 vehicle) is in the front, with “Mod” behind.

At The Cup

But with problematic Internet connection (no Internet or power in the press tent). But Clark Lindsey is all over it. Just keep scrolling. The key story is that Armadillo made an attempt at Level 1 at 9 AM but scrubbed until this afternoon due to an ignition problem.

Orbital Outfitters had a press conference at 10 AM at which they premiered their suborbital space suit. It was modeled by its designer, and is aimed initially at the pilot market. A passenger version will be coming along later.

[Update about 1 PM MDT]

In answer to Louise’s questions, it was a working prototype, and the suit was pressurized (not sure to what psi), but there was no comm system. The visor did seem to open pretty easily. I think that there may have been some pockets, but they could be easily added. One of the claimed features is the ability to customize and colorize.

Futility

When we went out to the White Sands monument, I was reading one of the signs about how life adapts to the shifting dunes. Yuccas apparently root themselves in the interdune area, planting roots deep to get at the underground aquifer. As the sand advances and starts to bury them, they grow ever higher, to keep their stalks in view of the sun. This continues for years until they may be only a couple feet above the top of the dune, with thirty feet of plant beneath. They persevere.

Until, that is, the dune continues to advance, removing the supporting sand from around the thirty-foot plant until it collapses of its own weight (somehow, the aspect ratio of the Ares I, of which I saw a model at Holloman today, comes to mind).

There’s a lesson there somewhere. I guess it’s “life sucks, and then you die.”

On that cheery note, I’m off to bed, so I can go watch Armadillo win the Lunar Landing Challenge in the morning. Or be surprised if they don’t.

Editing The Real World

Speaking of the Museum of Space History, as I said, Clark and I visited it. I hadn’t been there since 1993 (when I was out here for one of the DC-X flights) and he had never been.

It’s a beautiful building in a beautiful location, overlooking the valley with the white gypsum sands of the national monument and test range in the distance, with lots of interesting artifacts. But the exhibits seem quite out of date, and are often misleading (particularly the older ones). still Some of it seems frozen in the mid-eighties. If your only source for what was going on in space was this museum, you would think that Russia was flying Buran, and planning a fleet of four or five vehicles. You would think that Ariane IV was the most current version, and that there was no Delta new than Delta II, or Atlas built after the eighties version. Much of the text description is written in present tense, with no way for the reader to know that it is a couple decades out of date. (A more minor issue is that they have the date of the Apollo fire as January 26th, rather than the 27th, and this error has apparently adorned their walls for many years).

I know that it costs money to update and reprint displays, but you would think that with modern computer and printer technology it shouldn’t be that hard. There would be no shortage of visitors, like me (and Clark) who could point out problems to them if there were some easy way to do so. They need an army of editors, and then some good volunteers (who they apparently have already) to implement the fixes.

On the positive side, the newer wing on commercial space, and New Mexico’s role in it, is good (even if there is a little too much NM hucksterism and exaggeration in it). I recommend seeing it, but take some of the displays with a grain (or large bag) of salt, particularly the ones written in present and future tense.

Today’s X-Prize Press Conference

I was out at the press conference today, but I couldn’t get into the wireless network. My wireless widget in XP wanted a five or a thirteen-character code for the WEP, and the X-Prize folks issued a ten-character one. It steadfastly refused to accept it, or light up the second confirmation window, until I complied, which I couldn’t. Such is technology. Tomorrow, I’ll hook up my Linksys USB wireless dongle, which may have software for the twenty-first century.

Anyway, Clark Lindsey (with whom I carpooled out there today, after which we went to the space history museum in Alamagordo and then to White Sands Monument) has a lot of posts on the news conference (warning, not a permalink–there were too many links–just scroll, or in the future, use the Wayback Machine), and Alan Boyle has a story specifically on the teachers-in-space announcement.

My thoughts, before bed?

The new Rocketplane design looks good, but it seems to me now that the real barrier is financial. Though they didn’t say at the press conference, the rumor is that they need a lot of money to complete it, and they don’t have it. The time constant for first flight test of a suborbital vehicle seems to remain two years. Leonard David has more details.

Rocket Racing League seems much more encouraging. They now have the minimum six teams required, and they have a vehicle which flew three times yesterday in Mojave. I suspect that it will be flown publicly before the end of the year. I think that sponsorships will appear more quickly now.

I had one question of Granger–how long will this be a race purely of pilot skill? When will we see a competition of hardware? His answer: at least three years. In my follow up, he said that eventually he would be going to a formula, but that we needed to get some experience and understand the nature of the sport better. I hope that this will happen sooner rather than later, because I think that the technology will advance much more rapidly from this activity when we have not just competing pilots, but competing designs.

Today’s X-Prize Press Conference

I was out at the press conference today, but I couldn’t get into the wireless network. My wireless widget in XP wanted a five or a thirteen-character code for the WEP, and the X-Prize folks issued a ten-character one. It steadfastly refused to accept it, or light up the second confirmation window, until I complied, which I couldn’t. Such is technology. Tomorrow, I’ll hook up my Linksys USB wireless dongle, which may have software for the twenty-first century.

Anyway, Clark Lindsey (with whom I carpooled out there today, after which we went to the space history museum in Alamagordo and then to White Sands Monument) has a lot of posts on the news conference (warning, not a permalink–there were too many links–just scroll, or in the future, use the Wayback Machine), and Alan Boyle has a story specifically on the teachers-in-space announcement.

My thoughts, before bed?

The new Rocketplane design looks good, but it seems to me now that the real barrier is financial. Though they didn’t say at the press conference, the rumor is that they need a lot of money to complete it, and they don’t have it. The time constant for first flight test of a suborbital vehicle seems to remain two years. Leonard David has more details.

Rocket Racing League seems much more encouraging. They now have the minimum six teams required, and they have a vehicle which flew three times yesterday in Mojave. I suspect that it will be flown publicly before the end of the year. I think that sponsorships will appear more quickly now.

I had one question of Granger–how long will this be a race purely of pilot skill? When will we see a competition of hardware? His answer: at least three years. In my follow up, he said that eventually he would be going to a formula, but that we needed to get some experience and understand the nature of the sport better. I hope that this will happen sooner rather than later, because I think that the technology will advance much more rapidly from this activity when we have not just competing pilots, but competing designs.

Today’s X-Prize Press Conference

I was out at the press conference today, but I couldn’t get into the wireless network. My wireless widget in XP wanted a five or a thirteen-character code for the WEP, and the X-Prize folks issued a ten-character one. It steadfastly refused to accept it, or light up the second confirmation window, until I complied, which I couldn’t. Such is technology. Tomorrow, I’ll hook up my Linksys USB wireless dongle, which may have software for the twenty-first century.

Anyway, Clark Lindsey (with whom I carpooled out there today, after which we went to the space history museum in Alamagordo and then to White Sands Monument) has a lot of posts on the news conference (warning, not a permalink–there were too many links–just scroll, or in the future, use the Wayback Machine), and Alan Boyle has a story specifically on the teachers-in-space announcement.

My thoughts, before bed?

The new Rocketplane design looks good, but it seems to me now that the real barrier is financial. Though they didn’t say at the press conference, the rumor is that they need a lot of money to complete it, and they don’t have it. The time constant for first flight test of a suborbital vehicle seems to remain two years. Leonard David has more details.

Rocket Racing League seems much more encouraging. They now have the minimum six teams required, and they have a vehicle which flew three times yesterday in Mojave. I suspect that it will be flown publicly before the end of the year. I think that sponsorships will appear more quickly now.

I had one question of Granger–how long will this be a race purely of pilot skill? When will we see a competition of hardware? His answer: at least three years. In my follow up, he said that eventually he would be going to a formula, but that we needed to get some experience and understand the nature of the sport better. I hope that this will happen sooner rather than later, because I think that the technology will advance much more rapidly from this activity when we have not just competing pilots, but competing designs.

Symposium Overview

Just a few hours after the end of it, Alan Boyle (who was too burned out to have dinner with me, Jeff Foust, and Clark Lindsey this evening) has a good wrap up of the event.

Off to Holloman in the morning for a pre-Cup press activity.

[Update a little after 10 Mountain time]

Alan also has a report on the hurdles ahead for the Spaceport America.

Biting Commentary about Infinity…and Beyond!