Scientific Cascades

I’ve been skeptical about the link between dietary fat, and weight and poor health for a long time (at least since I first read Barry Sears’ analyses, over a decade ago). John Tierney (who has fortunately escaped from behind the Times Select prison) writes that the “science” behind the linkage is bogus, and that our fat aversion is probably one of the leading causes of obesity, since we switched to carbohydrates, which are much worse for us. But the reason that the bogus theory was promoted and accepted for so long is an interesting story of scientific sociology:

It may seem bizarre that a surgeon general could go so wrong. After all, wasn

Will History Repeat?

Let’s hope so.

The Democrats, meanwhile, held a convention in late August, nominating without serious controversy George B. McClellan, the general whom Lincoln had dismissed as head of the Union forces in Virginia because he would not fight. The Democratic platform denounced “four years of failure” in the war effort and the destruction of “public liberty and private right.” It called for the restoration of the rights of the states unimpaired, and a settlement of the issues central to the war

The New Poor

Mark Steyn, on the Democrats’ stealth nationalization of “health care” and their cynical use and abuse of children:

The Democrats chose to outsource their airtime to a Seventh Grader. If a political party is desperate enough to send a boy to do a man’s job, then the boy is fair game. As it is, the Dems do enough cynical and opportunist hiding behind biography and identity, and it’s incredibly tedious. And anytime I send my seven-year-old out to argue policy you’re welcome to clobber him, too. The alternative is a world in which genuine debate is ended and, as happened with Master Frost, politics dwindles down to professional staffers writing scripts to be mouthed by Equity moppets.

…So executive vice-presidents’ families are now the new new poor? I support lower taxes for the Frosts, increased child credits for the Frosts, an end to the “death tax” and other encroachments on transgenerational wealth transfer, and even severe catastrophic medical-emergency aid of one form or other. But there is no reason to put more and more middle-class families on the government teat, and doing so is deeply corrosive of liberty.

And, if the Democrats don’t like me saying that, next time put up someone in long pants to make your case.

Emergent Properties

I was watching television tonight, on one of my new HD channels on DirecTV (no, I didn’t get paid for that, but I wish I had). If you want to understand this concept, and unintended consequences, go no further than to watch The Producers (either version).

They deliberately picked the worst play, the worst playwright, the worst director, the worst cast, and it turned into a hit. And things like that can happen all the time.

[Morning update]

Sorry some found this post cryptic. Let me rewrite. I was watching “The Producers” (movie version of the musical) last night, on one of the new DirecTV HD channels (a fact that was incidental to the real point, which was that I was watching The Producers). The unintended, and undesired success of their musical was an emergent property of their attempts to make it a failure, by choosing the worst of everything, which somehow resulted in a hit. I was not slamming HD–I was plugging DirecTV for being the first to offer a large number of HD channels.

Fedora Problem Update

OK, so I determined that both Ubuntu and Fedora Core 7 (rescue CD) could see my network cards. Ubuntu could see the one on the mother board, and Fedora Core 7 could see both. But Ubuntu couldn’t connect to my network via DHCP.

So I decided to use Fedora. But when I tried to download via http, it demanded a domain and a folder on that domain. When I input both, it insisted on inputting double slashes between domain and folder, even when I deleted them from both ends, so naturally, the repository couldn’t be found.

So I decided to download the Live CD. When I did so, it turned out to be larger than 700 meg, which meant that I couldn’t burn it on to a CD–I had to use a DVD. If I’d know that, I would have simply downloaded the entire DVD iso.

The problem is, I’ve never burned a DVD (though I have a DVD burner) so that means that I have to go out to wherever, and buy blank DVDs. Why couldn’t Fedora put a Live install on a CD? It wouldn’t have been much smaller…

[Update a few minutes later]

I should add that I suspect that my earlier problems were due to attempting to install a 32-bit version of the OS on an AMD 64 chip. So perhaps a solution is to burn a 64-bit version of Core 6…

Who Will Carry The Fusion Torch?

I can’t find any web confirmation of this on a quick search, but I am reliably informed that Bob Bussard died yesterday. I didn’t know that he was ill. I may have more thoughts later.

[Update a couple minutes later]

This isn’t my (direct) source, but this is the news from Jerry Pournelle.

[Tuesday morning update]

Well, there are certainly a lot of encomia in comments. I didn’t really know the man, myself. I met him once, a quarter of a century ago, at a monthly OASIS meeting in LA, where he gave a talk on his “fusion lightbulb” concept, and several of us had dinner with him afterward. Prior to that, I had only known him as the man after whom the interstellar ramjet was (appropriately, since he invented the concept) named. My brief experience matches that of commenters, though. He was an interesting, friendly man, who seemed to be attempting to accomplish great things for humanity.

And it’s sad that people don’t realize what humanitarians technologists can be. Most people think that humanitarians are only social-worker types. But whatever you think of him personally, Henry Ford revolutionized America, and gave mobility to the masses. Edison brought them light. Sam Walton (who was not a technologist, but a businessman), for all of the unfair demonization of his store chain, has helped the poor more than any social program, by making relatively high-quality (by the standards of a century ago) goods much more affordable to them.

More humanitarian technologists should be recognized as Norman Borlaug was. Perhaps, if polywell fusion pans out (and I have no opinion on the probability of that), Dr. Bussard will be as well, but it will be a shame that if so, it will be posthumously.

Is It Dead, Jim?

What happened to Al Qaeda’s Ramadan offensive?

Most people (and all Democrats) fail to appreciate the fact that al Qaeda was directly responsible for the enormous rise in civilian casualties that occurred in 2006 and that continued until recently. As such, they do not really have a way to conceptualize the enormous drop in casualties that occurred last month and that has been maintained through the first week of this month. Once you understand the role played by al Qaeda, then, if al Qaeda really has been quashed (big “if”), I do not see how civilian casualties will ever again climb to their previous levels. The two main sources of civilian casualties in Iraq — deaths from al Qaeda’s suicide bombers and retaliatory execution-style killings by Shiite militias in Baghdad — are both under control. If al Qaeda can no longer deliberately enrage the Shiite militias by slaughtering hundreds of innocent Shiite civilians at a time, then where are the extra 1000 deaths going to come from this month?

An interesting question. But it does look like Al Qaeda’s attempt at a Tet of their own failed, despite the Dems’ fervent desire for a repeat.

[Update in the evening]

More thoughts from Omar Fadhil, in Iraq.

Biting Commentary about Infinity…and Beyond!