Another Greatest Generation

Jim Bennett has a review of John O’Sullivan’s new book on Reagan, Thatcher and the Pope.

Looking at alternative outcomes of the Reagan-Thatcher-John Paul II world, it is hard to see how any other leaders in any of the three seats of power could have done better, and very easy to see how they could have done worse — all the way to outbreak of nuclear war. Therefore, while leaving any actual theodicy to more venturesome commentators, it is easy to see why some considered the advent of these three leaders (and their not-statistically-likely serial survival of assassination attempts) to be providential. Since I find theodicy to be too problematic to consider (if God does move human events directly, there’s far too much moral dark matter assumed in the problem for we poor three-dimensional observers to be able to draw any conclusions from it), I think O’Sullivan spent either too much time or too little discussing that possibility. If we assume we cannot intuit divine knowledge or intention in specific human events, then that is all one can really say about the matter; if we assume one can understand such things, then the events O’Sullivan discusses would be one of the principal theological events of our century, and could easily merit not just the bulk of O’Sullivan’s book, but a library full of books.

We need to come up with more leaders like them. Sadly, I don’t see any in office currently, or in the current race.

A Cheap Lesson At Twice The Price

If only it worked. Robin Hanson has a brilliant solution to stock market volatility:

Congress could give some well-regarded “best and brightest” regulators a big pile of cash, say $100 billion, and have them correct prices by trading, buying when they think prices should rise and selling when they think prices should fall. If regulators really do know how to choose good price pushes, then not only will they correct “biased” stock prices, they will increase their pile of cash, and we won’t need to give them any more.

If, however, regulators lose their pile of cash, let them come back to Congress begging for more, explaining how they had it all wrong before, but now they know when to push prices up versus down. And after very some public hang-wringing, let Congress give them another $100 billion to work with. And if regulators come back a few years later asking for even more money, explaining how they had it all wrong again, but now they know how to do it right, let Congress given them another very public scolding, along with another $100 billion.

And if regulators lose that pile, maybe Congress and the public will have had enough, and will quit the price fixing business. Fool me once, shame on you; fool me thrice, shame on me. The $300 billion will have been well worth it to clearly show regulator inefficiency, especially since that money would just have been transferred to financial speculators, the people who really rationalize stock prices.

Sadly, though, I suspect that many still wouldn’t get the clue.

It’s Not The Crime, It’s The Coverup

This was one of the first stupid political decisions that the Clinton White House made, in their ongoing interest of manufacturing a false image, and it’s reverberated right down to Hillary’s campaign. It seems particularly true in this case, because there doesn’t seem to have been a crime. Bill Dedman has read Hillary’s thesis, and it comes off as pretty weak tea to me. Pretty anti-climactic, after all the fevered speculation during the nineties, which (like many Clinton imbroglios) was fed by the secrecy.

[Via La Dynamist]

It’s Not The Crime, It’s The Coverup

This was one of the first stupid political decisions that the Clinton White House made, in their ongoing interest of manufacturing a false image, and it’s reverberated right down to Hillary’s campaign. It seems particularly true in this case, because there doesn’t seem to have been a crime. Bill Dedman has read Hillary’s thesis, and it comes off as pretty weak tea to me. Pretty anti-climactic, after all the fevered speculation during the nineties, which (like many Clinton imbroglios) was fed by the secrecy.

[Via La Dynamist]

Biting Commentary about Infinity…and Beyond!