There are manufacturing issues that may limit Moore’s Law. LIthography (EUV and immersion) may reach a limit somewhere between 10nm and 7nm. The current consensus in the industry is that current process technology (deposition, patterning, etch) will reach the limits at 7nm, which gives us another 3 generations of chips beyond 22nn. TMSC is already working on 14nm process technology. The 7nm generation will come out around 2020.
Some kind of molecular self-assembly technology to make molecular-level electronics will be necessary to shrink beyond 7nm. This will probably be developed during the 20’s and will put semiconductors at the final limit of the molecular level by 2030.
If you can do molecular self-assembly, you can start stacking things in the up direction.
I don’t think we need to follow Moore’s Law much longer. iPhone addicts are already irritating enough. When the technology gets to 7 nm all the kids will be staggering down the sidewalk goggled in to virtual sports bars where they’re carrying on a 5-way 3D sex chat with their pimply-faced peers. I intend to use a normal aspirated 1970’s Ford pickup to run as many of them over as I can, leaving a grease spot on the road and a ping timeout in their virtual bar running on a server farm somewhere in California. When I eventually get arrested I’ll claim I thought I was still playing Death Race 3D v6.0 in my sensory deprivation tank.
There are manufacturing issues that may limit Moore’s Law. LIthography (EUV and immersion) may reach a limit somewhere between 10nm and 7nm. The current consensus in the industry is that current process technology (deposition, patterning, etch) will reach the limits at 7nm, which gives us another 3 generations of chips beyond 22nn. TMSC is already working on 14nm process technology. The 7nm generation will come out around 2020.
Some kind of molecular self-assembly technology to make molecular-level electronics will be necessary to shrink beyond 7nm. This will probably be developed during the 20’s and will put semiconductors at the final limit of the molecular level by 2030.
If you can do molecular self-assembly, you can start stacking things in the up direction.
I don’t think we need to follow Moore’s Law much longer. iPhone addicts are already irritating enough. When the technology gets to 7 nm all the kids will be staggering down the sidewalk goggled in to virtual sports bars where they’re carrying on a 5-way 3D sex chat with their pimply-faced peers. I intend to use a normal aspirated 1970’s Ford pickup to run as many of them over as I can, leaving a grease spot on the road and a ping timeout in their virtual bar running on a server farm somewhere in California. When I eventually get arrested I’ll claim I thought I was still playing Death Race 3D v6.0 in my sensory deprivation tank.