This analysis is primarily surprising in that it comes from John Judis, who had previously been bullish on Democrats prospects.
7 thoughts on “The Emerging Republican Advantage”
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This analysis is primarily surprising in that it comes from John Judis, who had previously been bullish on Democrats prospects.
Comments are closed.
Much of this is cyclical. The majority party always has the most factions – that is how they get elected. After a time in the majority, many of the factions come to find that (what they view as) their interests are not being served. Eventually, some of them will move to the other party, if they feel they can get a better deal, thereby creating a new majority.
As to 2016, if the Republicans nominate a principled candidate who is willing to stand up for himself – that is, give people somebody to vote FOR – then that candidate will win against whoever the Democrats put up, including Her. You can see this already in the recent Iowa polls. However, the needs of the power brokers means we will probably end up with Bush III, in which case it is anybody’s race.
Judis reaches the opposite conclusion:
Who could be more in the mold of Bush than another Bush? I could see Walker, Christie or Kasich filling it as well. Paul, Huckabee, Santorum or Carson would have more trouble with the voters Judis is highlighting.
There are so many possible GOP candidates that I forgot a bunch of them. Ted Cruz and Rick Perry might be too identified with the tea party (to appeal to the voters Judis is talking about). Sarah Palin probably would too, and she might be too identified with GOP social issues. Bobby Jindal, Mike Pence or Marco Rubio might fit the Bush mold, depending on how they positioned themselves.
And then there’s Graham, Pataki, Fiorina, Bolton, and other possible candidates who have virtually no chance.
Ted Cruz and Rick Perry might be too identified with the tea party (to appeal to the voters Judis is talking about).
Remember the only voter Judis speaks for is himself. Here’s what he says on the matter:
Notice how the “tea party” gets lumped in with “Religious Right” and “plutocrats”. Typical propaganda ploy. And there’s his clueless apologism for Obama that follows.
If I were a Republican, I would be very foolish to take this person’s advice.
Maybe the Millennials and the Middle Cass just realized they have been pawns for many years. Fooled by the mainstream media and the educational cartel, they fell for all the “cult of social justice” nonsense. Not all, but enough to hinder the democrat party.
It’s best to always bear in mind one of the GOP’s greatest skills; the ability to snatch defeat from the looming jaws of victory.
In this case, the GOP has several comparatively easy routes to accomplishing this; nominating a candidate that a significant chunk of the party despises and will stay home in November as a result, is one. Nominating someone with major (known or unknown) baggage is another.
The only guarantee is we’re all screwed.