The Republican Race In CA

The latest polling of likely voters shows a dead heat between Cruz and Trump.

It’s worth noting (as the article doesn’t) that CA is winner-take-all by Congressional District. So if that polling holds, Cruz would probably pick up about half the delegates. But we don’t know what the race will look like by the time CA has come around. Trump may have already taken enough delegates, or there may be a last-minute push on to prevent him.

8 thoughts on “The Republican Race In CA”

  1. It’s a closed primary, but as mentioned, it’s largely by congressional district.
    Some of those districts have very few Republicans, so just a few votes will decide it.

    It also makes it quite possible that the winner of the statewide vote won’t get the majority of delegates, because there are only 10 at-large delegates.

      1. Here’s the explanation from the horse’s mouth:
        http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/political-parties/no-party-preference/

        If I’m reading it correctly, the Republican primary in California is closed – only registered Republicans can vote – while the Democratic party is open to Democrats and people who have chosen the “no party preference” option. But please correct me if I’m wrong, because what I’m saying is inconsistent with what I see on various helpful(?!) voter information websites.

  2. If Cruz and Trump were to join together on a compromise ticket, they could win the kids back from Bernie by rebranding as the Crump campaign.

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