The UK Election

Is Boris on track to get a majority?

The new swing voter in the UK is the reason the Tories are on track for a large majority government. The new swing voter is the fiscally liberal, socially conservative voter who wants more money spent on northern towns and health care in regional areas and less money spent on “elites”, which routinely means whoever that voter isn’t a fan of. They’re wary of immigrants, mad at the Blair-era broken promise of only 13000/year net immigration from the 2004 EU Accession states – 250000/year would come in the decade after – and is annoyed by social issues that grip the modern left. This class of voter was staunchly Labour for decades, especially in the aftermath of Margaret Thatcher’s term in office. These voters were tempted by Theresa May last time, but went home to Labour because Corbyn did enough to reassure that Brexit would happen. With Labour policy now being a second referendum with an option to Remain – and every senior Labour politician outside Corbyn saying no possible deal is better than staying in – their likelihood of repeating their 2017 trick is somewhere between small and non-existant.

That would be a shake up.

11 thoughts on “The UK Election”

  1. When I was there just a few weeks ago; Corbyn looked like he wanted to be Britain’s Mao. I was in London, where many opposed Brexit, but between Brexit and full on national Socialism; I think Brexit doesn’t sound so bad.

  2. I spend a lot of time in the UK, and from what I’ve seen, Boris Johnson would be having a pretty hard time of it (he’s got a lot of baggage) if it wasn’t for the help he’s getting from Jeremy Corbyn and Labour.

    The Brexit issue helps Johnson, especially in many usually-Labour strongholds that voted Brexit, but not as much as Jeremy Corbyn being Jeremy Corbyn does.

    1. CJ, does the BBC seem to you as clueless about the mood of Britain as it does to me? It seemed like watching a room full of Pauline Kael and friends.

      1. Generally, I regard the BBC (the broadcast version more than their online version) as pretty good, though they do indeed get things wrong, especially when it comes to the mood of the country, or regions thereof. Many of them were as shell-shocked by the Brexit result on election eve as most of the US media was when Trump won.

        If I remember right, they forecast that the West Midlands, due to being Labour country, plus having a large middle eastern immigrant population, would vote remain, though narrowly. The actual result was that the West Midlands voted Brexit by a bigger percentage than any other region of the UK.

    2. The same argument can be made about Trump. It was the Democrats and feckless Republicans that handed the Presidency to him.

  3. A lot of my European and specifically British friends are not progressives, per se, but do keep yammering on about “liberal democracies,” seemingly oblivious to the fact that Communism is winning the Cold War “by other means.”

    Winning elections is all well and good, here or there, especially if it allows appointment of conervative judges and the firing of progressive bureaucrats, but I fail to see how any of it will help to reverse the indoctrination of two or three generations of children, creating legions of adults who actually seem mentally ill.

    1. It is normal, natural, and totally in character that the left work so hard to indoctrinate children. They learned this from their mentor and role model.

      “He alone, who owns the youth, gains the future.”
      ~ Adolf Hilter

    2. Yes. There’s no party that actually wants to save Britain. Nor could one be elected.

      But the first step to reaching the point where the country could be saved is leaving the EU. Then Britain probably needs to split into at least half a dozen nations, where people can live among others who are actually similar to them.

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