All posts by Rand Simberg

Amazing Photo

This is a shot of the Sukhoi 27 that crashed at the air show last weekend in the Ukraine. A few seconds after this picture was taken, almost everyone you see in it was severely injured…or dead. At least seventy people died in the worst air show accident in history.

The crew ejected and survived, but they may have trouble sleeping for the rest of their lives.

Simberg’s Law?

In what he calls a pre-mortem for the Department of Homeland Security, Arnold Kling has a follow up to my column (and post) on “emergent stupidity.”

He also names the law after me, though it’s hard to believe that I’m the first person to document this obvious phenemenon. Or that it’s well-enough refined to be useful in its present form. But I appreciate the thought, anyway.

Simberg’s Law?

In what he calls a pre-mortem for the Department of Homeland Security, Arnold Kling has a follow up to my column (and post) on “emergent stupidity.”

He also names the law after me, though it’s hard to believe that I’m the first person to document this obvious phenemenon. Or that it’s well-enough refined to be useful in its present form. But I appreciate the thought, anyway.

Simberg’s Law?

In what he calls a pre-mortem for the Department of Homeland Security, Arnold Kling has a follow up to my column (and post) on “emergent stupidity.”

He also names the law after me, though it’s hard to believe that I’m the first person to document this obvious phenemenon. Or that it’s well-enough refined to be useful in its present form. But I appreciate the thought, anyway.

He Keeps On Ticking

George Neumayr says that even with the recent lawsuit setback, Bill Simon’s numbers are still holding up against Grayout Davis.

I’m hoping that Simon’s campaign is not as low-key and inept as it appears, and that he’s holding back his real ammunition until after Labor Day, when the voters start to pay attention.

[Thanks to reader Lloyd Albano for the link]

Don And Saddam

Over at Common Fantasies, Jeremy Cahill has an article that describes the history of Don Rumsfeld’s diplomacy with Saddam and Iraq almost twenty years ago, during the Iran-Iraq war.

I’m not sure what the point of his article is. Is he saying that Rumsfeld can’t be trusted to solve the problem now? If all he’s saying is that we made foreign policy mistakes back then, and weren’t sufficiently concerned about Iraq’s chemical weapons at the time, I suspect that Mr. Rumsfeld would agree, looking back with twenty-twenty hindsight. But I don’t know what kind of present policy conclusions we’re supposed to draw from this.

In 1984, Donald Rumsfeld was in a position to draw the world?s attention to Saddam?s chemical threat. He was in Baghdad as the UN concluded that chemical weapons had been used against Iran. He was armed with a fresh communication from the State Department that it had ?available evidence? Iraq was using chemical weapons. But Rumsfeld said nothing.

Washington now speaks of Saddam?s threat and the consequences of a failure to act. Despite the fact that the administration has failed to provide even a shred of concrete proof that Iraq has links to Al Qaeda or has resumed production of chemical or biological agents, Rumsfeld insists that ?the absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.?

And like all other anti-war types, Mr. Cahill makes the mistake (I’ll be generous and assume that he’s not just being disingenuous) of thinking that there have to be links to Al Qaeda to justify preemptive action. Of course, there are links to Al Qaeda, because the White House is now confirming the meeting between the Iraqis and Atta in Prague (which makes me think that we’re getting ready to initiate something significant). But anyway, it’s not necessary.

Last September 11, we faced the reality that oceans no longer protect us from hostile foreign powers. If we are threatened (and there’s no reason to think that Saddam wouldn’t mind slipping a nuke to someone to detonate it on American soil, if he had one), then we will deal with the threat.

Den Beste has an excellent post on just this subject today.