Less than an hour to go for the next SES-9 launch attempt by SpaceX. Eric Berger has the story.
Category Archives: Business
This Morning’s Space Press Conference
I listened in by phone. Here‘s the white paper.
As one would expect, a consensus from thirteen space organizations is going to be mostly motherhood, and implicitly self contradictory. More after I’ve taken the time to go through it. Elliot Pulham said that the campaigns have received it with “gratitude and interest,” but as he said, the main goal is not so much to inject space into the campaigns as to prevent people from saying stupid things about it. Good luck with that.
Stopping Trump
Berin Szoka lays out the scenarios:
PLAN A: Stop Trump before the convention (5%?)
PLAN B: Deny him a majority, forge an alliance to pick anyone else (20%?)
PLAN C: Sane Republicans reform as the Conservative/Constitutional Party, deny either Hillary or Trump a majority of electoral votes (it would have to be a swing state, unless Trump is sweeping those, which is quite possible), which kicks the election to the House, where Republicans would elect the Conservative/Constitutional alternative to Trump (30%)
PLAN D: Use a Hillary presidency to catalyze the party around a new set of ideas, that respond to profound economic discontent without resorting to racism, protectionism or demagoguery. Paul Ryan leads what the Gingrich Revolution should have been. (25%)
PLAN E: Batten down the hatches and prepare to ride out a
or a Trumpclear winter. Keep a list of Trump’s Vichycon collaborators for purging when The Occupation ends. (20%)
A would be nice but almost certainly won’t happen. B just might. C may well be our best hope. D may be what the GOP really needs. E absolutely terrifies me — not just in terms of the 4-8 years of a Trump reign, but in terms of its long-term consequences for American politics.
My preference is obviously (A), but that seems unlikely at this point.
Epigenetic Aging
We may be able to turn it off, and reverse it. I’ve always been amused by (in Clarke’s words) the “distinguished elderly [or not so elderly] scientists” who think that the laws of physics require our bodies to deteriorate over time.
Via Glenn, who has some further thoughts.
The Ignorant Idea That Won’t Go Away
No, we can’t “just” throw our trash into the sun.
But I hate when people use current launchers to demonstrate the cost of a massive space project. That’s not how it would be done. And I wish they’d simply say “the sun is the most expensive place to get in the solar system.” Because it is.
Reforming Space Policy
Space News has a story on Bridenstine’s proposed legislation.
I’ll have to take a look at the actual draft bill, but it has some good things, and some not so good. I don’t think that SSA should be simply handed over to the FAA. I don’t think that FAA should even be involved in launch licensing. If we’re going to be making radical changes in structure, it’s time to seriously consider a U.S. Space Guard.
SpaceX SES-9 Launch
It’s been rescheduled for Tuesday. They’re hoping that the fourth time will be the charm.
I think this is an issue of lack of experience with subcooling the LOX. This is only the second flight of the new vehicle. With sufficient flight experience, they’ll get it down, I’m sure.
Space Access
The latest agenda (including Yours Truly) is up. It really is the best space conference for the buck.
Thursday’s Debate
A good description of how Rubio and Cruz (finally) teamed up to expose Trump as a fraudulent incoherent empty suit. And I find Christie’s and Huckabee’s endorsements of him despicable.
[Update a few minutes later]
Does anyone actually believe that Trump is being audited because he’s a “strong Christian”?
Even Trump’s sincere Christian supporters don’t believe that he’s a very sincere Christian, at least according to the very polls Trump prints out and sleeps on like a dragon atop a pile of gold. (Though, looked at from the right angle, it’s more like a guinea pig hoarding all the shredded-paper cage-lining.) In fact, only 5 percent of Republicans believe that Trump is “very religious,” while nearly half think he’s “not at all” religious or “not too religious.” I know he now says that “nobody reads the Bible more than me.” But, again, I can’t imagine anyone actually believes him. (I also would have thought this is the kind of lie truly God-fearing people would not utter, for fear of, you know, lightning bolts or salt-pillarification.)
Anyway, all of this public religiosity is fairly new. Before he ran for president, if you played the word-association game with 100,000 Americans, I’d venture that not one of them would have said “Christian!” when asked, “What first comes to mind when you think of Donald Trump?”
Apparently, according to Trump, that’s only true of normal Americans. The IRS is different. It’s like the eye of Sauron searching the land for “strong Christians.” When its cruel gaze landed upon the failed casino magnate, beauty-pageant impresario, thrice-married and confessed adulterer who’s talked about how his own daughter is so hot he’d date her if she wasn’t his daughter and bragged about how it doesn’t matter what critics say about you so long as “you’ve got a young and beautiful piece of ass,” and who told Howard Stern that his ability to avoid getting the clap while sleeping around was his “personal Vietnam,” the IRS immediately saw the truth of the matter.
Suddenly, the alarms at the IRS Christian persecution squad started flashing. Over the P.A. system came: “Code Red! We’ve got a ‘strong Christian’ in sector 7!”
If you don’t see that Trump is a con man, you’re the mark.
[Update a while later]
Ace explains why Trump is no Ronald Reagan (and I’d note that “Steve Goddard” on Twitter has lost his mind on this issue):
A big problem I have with Trump not knowing things, and clearly never have thought about things, combined with his obvious desire to pander and make the big sale, is that when he’s caught out without any good answer, and senses that he’s losing the room with an unpopular answer, he usually (75% of the time) tries to get back on the right side of popular opinion and embrace the liberal position on the issue.
You couldn’t do that to Reagan, because Reagan always had a series of facts to back him up, and because he’d been thinking about things — not feeling about them; thinking about them, theorizing about them — for years, like during his famous GE addresses.
Unlike Trump, he never felt that he was “losing the room” with an unpopular conservative answer. He was always confident and in command, because he had earned being confident and in command. He had done the homework — he wasn’t some Millennial who had feelz that xe was right. He was a thinking, intellectually-voracious man who tested his own thoughts until he knew he was right, because he’d looked at the question from several directions.
When Reagan felt he was addressing a hostile crowd, he didn’t immediately attempt to placate them by offering them a liberal position he flip-flopped to on the spot. Instead, he went into his mental note-card file and tried to convince them of the conservative opinion.
And a lot of the time, he did.
My problem with Trump is that he is a dealmaker trying to make a sale. Right now he’s trying to make a deal with conservatives — so this is the very most conservative we’ll ever see him.
If he gets the nomination, he now starts working on making the second part of the deal with the other party in the negotiations, the general public.
So this is the most conservative we’ll ever see Trump — this is the absolute most conservative he’ll ever be — and he’s not conservative at all, except, possibly, on immigration. He combines liberal policy impulses with frankly authoritarian or even fascist ones, which he thinks are “what conservatives want,” because, frankly, he conceives of us as ugly-minded, stupid dummies who get off on this shit.
That’s why he didn’t put the “Ban Muslims” line in a more palatable, persuasive form, like “Reduce immigration from Muslim-majority countries or countries with a terrorism problem to a level where we can vet each individual applicant.”
No, he put it in the most bigoted, ugly way he could think of, because that’s about his level, and because, also, that’s what he thinks “conservatives” are.
Yup. It’s ironic that his supporters think he “tells it like it is,” when he really tells it like he thinks his audience du jour wants to hear it.
The Flint Crisis
It’s not just a water crisis. Like many cities, Flint is the culmination of decades of Democrat malgovernance. It’s a few days old, but Shikha Dalmia has been on the case:
…IMHO, if liberals were truly interested in helping Flint residents rather than simply sacrificing them to the altar of the God of Beneficent Government, they should approach private philanthropists for donations to buy out the houses of Flint’s residents and let them flee to better climes where jobs are more plentiful and the government less intrusive. (Houston, anyone?) Giving each Flint resident $10,000—or $40,000 to a family of four—will require about $4 billion, which is hardly beyond the means of the wealthy trinity of Bill Gates, Warren Buffet, and Mark Zuckerberg. And surely there are others whose help liberals will allow Flint victims to accept!
And what about the city of Flint? Indeed, if liberals were really as caring as they claim to be, they would shift their focus from saving geographical areas to saving living, breathing human beings.
But if they really, really want to do something about it, they should hand it to private developers to turn it into a giant landfill to bury liberal good intentions.
Reminder: they may be good intentions (though I think it’s more about power and corruption), but there is little “liberal” about this.