Phobos-Grunt’s orbit appears to be rising.
Category Archives: Space
The Phobos Mission
Can anything be salved from it, scientifically? Some thoughts from one of the scientists. If we were really a spacefaring nation, we’d have someone on their way to it right now, or soon, to retrieve or fix it.
[Update a while later]
The latest from Emily Lakdawalla. As she says, unless there’s a change in the situation, not much more to report until it comes down, either on its own or with assistance from the ground. I also agree with her that it’s strange that anyone thinks they can predict an entry date at this point.
[Update a few minutes later]
Alan Boyle: “NASA’s Nicholas Johnson tells me @PhobosGrunt isn’t projected to re-enter till next month; too early to be more specific right now.”
That’s right.
The Spirit Of Apollo
…is alive and well. Just not at NASA:
…the legacy of Apollo, at its core, isn’t about big rockets; it’s the boldness of new, game-changing ideas. It’s John Houbolt’s proposal for lunar orbit rendezvous in 1962, an idea that flew so wildly in the face of accepted wisdom that NASA’s uber-engineer Max Faget protested, “Your figures lie!” — before realizing it was the right way to go.
It’s Office of Manned Space Flight chief George Mueller pushing for all-up testing of the Saturn 5, because he knew testing one stage at a time would require too much hardware and too much time, and most important, wouldn’t reduce the risk of failure. All-up testing so horrified members of Wernher von Braun’s rocket team that Mueller basically had to tell them they had no choice.
And it’s George Low’s summer of ’68 realization that with the lunar module seriously delayed, the only chance of staying on schedule was to fly Apollo 8 around the Moon, without a lander. Once again, some resisted; NASA Administrator Jim Webb yelled at his deputy over a transatlantic phone line, “Are you out of your mind?” But once again, the wisdom of the idea won out. Like all of Apollo’s bold moves, it looked from the outside like a Hail Mary pass, but in reality it was a stroke of genius.
Four decades later the challenge is not just to follow Apollo’s trail into deep space, but to do it affordably and sustainably. That’s not going to happen if NASA continues to be run as a jobs program as much as a space program.
As I’ve noted before, today’s NASA would never be able to do Apollo 8. It’s far too risk averse. Of course, back then, space was actually important.
Air Launch
I had lunch with Mitchell Burnside Clapp a few months ago, when he told me about this program. This doesn’t seem true, though:
Today there’s one way to get a satellite into space: launch it from the ground on a booster rocket, which is expensive and can take weeks or months between missions to prepare the launch pad.
What’s Pegasus, chopped liver? Not that we couldn’t stand to get the cost way, down, of course.
Phobos-Grunt
What a name. Anyway, I have an article about it up over at Popular Mechanics.
[Update a while later]
Here’s some more info. According to that piece, it’s dropping in altitude a little over a mile per orbit, but that will accelerate as it gets lower in the coming weeks, if they can’t get it on its way.
[Update a few minutes later]
Emily Lakdawalla has the latest. It’s not looking good, according to sources in Russia.
A Space Guard Discussion
The audio from yesterday’s interview with Jim Bennett is up now.
Speaking Out For Commercial Crew
No one asked me to sign this petition, but I certainly would have.
[Update a few minutes later]
If I were petitioning the White House on space policy right now, I’d submit the following:
“The Commercial Crew program, which is the only near-term hope we have of ending our reliance on the Russians for transportation to the International Space Station, is being underfunded by the Congress, and delayed by a switch to an onerous new contracting method by NASA. We the undersigned request that the White House highlight the issue of the underfunding of the Commercial Crew program in the Congress, and issue an executive order to the space agency to continue utilizing Space Act Agreements for the program that have proven so successful in the Commercial Orbital Transportation Services program, rather than shifting the procurement to the traditional costly FAR-based approach.”
[Update a couple minutes later]
Link is fixed now, sorry.
Follow Up On Depot Debate
FWIW, I just received a kind email from Scott Pace thanking me for the detailed response to the Space News op-ed. As I noted, we’ve been friends for almost thirty years and (as far as I know) remain so.
More On The Heavy-Lift Empire Striking Back
I have a new post up over at Open Market, but if you saw Friday’s piece, there’s not much new.
The Sisyphean Task Of ITAR Reform
As Jeff Foust tweets, if you’re looking for a 2500-word essay on the subject, today is your lucky day.