Category Archives: Technology and Society

The Director’s Cut

When I wrote The Path Not Taken, over four years ago, for The New Atlantis, the original draft had to be cut to meet page-count requirements on the dead-tree edition (and it was also edited somewhat for style and content). I’ve decided to put the original, unedited draft on line for those interested, because it made some points that ended up on the cutting-room floor in the published piece, particularly regarding vehicle reliability.

It’s an even longer read now than the published one, but enjoy. Or not.

Hornet Down?

I’m hearing that an FA-18 crashed into a neighborhood in San Diego, near Miramar (the former location of the Navy’s “Top Gun” school), with an ejected pilot. If so, that’s very unusual. Pilots usually do what they can to make sure that the plane doesn’t hurt anyone on the ground before ejecting (if they eject).

[Update a few minutes later]

For those without access to radio/television, here’s a live thread tracking it over at Free Republic. It doesn’t sound good–several houses are reported to be burning. Let’s hope that no one was home.

Space Solar Power And Launch Costs

There’s a long piece in this week’s Economist on the current prospects for solar power satellites. It’s a pretty good overview, but has a few problems. First of all, it doesn’t mention lasers at all. This is particularly a large oversight when it comes to the discussion of military applications. If space-based power is used for military logistics, it’s unlikely that it will be of the microwave variety — the power density is far too low to be practical for many of the envisioned needs. Lasers are more likely (though they will still not be a cost-effective weapon, despite the paranoia of some who will oppose the concept).

Also, in the discussion on launch costs, they didn’t spend enough time discussing the suborbital route, though they mentioned it. And while there was never much prospect of Gene Myers launching ETs into orbit, the chance that it will happen now is essentially nil, so the discussion of Space Islands is (at best) anachronistic. A description of Bob Bigelow’s activities with his orbital facilities, which weren’t mentioned at all, would have been much more useful and relevant to the reader.

[Update a few minutes later]

There seems to be a push on to get the Obama administration to adopt SBSP as a new energy initiative. Given all the other energy alternatives they want to chase (wind, terrestrial solar, etc.) why not? Even if it doesn’t pan out, it could result in lower launch costs for other things, which (as the report points out) are a prerequisite.

Making Our Own Leaves

Here’s an interesting piece on breakthroughs in artificial photosynthesis. My biggest problem with it is that it talks about hydrogen as being “easy to store,” but it doesn’t describe in any way how this is done. Clearly, if you don’t have to carry it in a vehicle (as would be required for transport fuel) the job is a lot easier, but it’s still non trivial. If it’s simply for load leveling, you have a lot more options, but they still come down to three: hydrides, high-pressure gas, or liquid. The latter uses a lot of energy to chill it, and loses it in rewarming.

There is a picture of a notional system in a garage, but it shows a water tank, hydrogen tank, and oxygen tank, and the separated gases (or liquids?). The water tank looks like about half the volume of the separated elements. How realistic is this? What is going on? I’d expect more from an article in Technology Review.