Let’s be real clear. If the article first written that critiqued the Ferguson model was correct in the coding flaws that were uncovered, the Imperial College model would be totally inaccurate in making ANY prediction. Wether it be predicting an epidemic or the path of a ball falling to the ground. Its mathematics were that bad.
I also agree climate models are nothing like epidemiological models. They have been refined. They do use methods based on physics. The fact however that there are many different ones that make different predictions from each other and an ensemble mean temperature rise is often chosen to be representative which still (last I checked) diverges from the observed average, tells me there is still much room for doubt.
When they make a hurricane model that all climatologist can agree works, such that all others can be safely ignored; let me know. Seems a single hurricane would be a simpler atmospheric model than global warming, no?
“tells me there is still much room for doubt”
It should lead to doubt, especially from those in the field but instead anyone who says there is uncertainty is rhetorically savaged like someone trying to stop a looter from getting a couple new tvs. Except sometimes, it isn’t rhetorical and people have their careers destroyed.
Let’s be real clear. If the article first written that critiqued the Ferguson model was correct in the coding flaws that were uncovered, the Imperial College model would be totally inaccurate in making ANY prediction. Wether it be predicting an epidemic or the path of a ball falling to the ground. Its mathematics were that bad.
I also agree climate models are nothing like epidemiological models. They have been refined. They do use methods based on physics. The fact however that there are many different ones that make different predictions from each other and an ensemble mean temperature rise is often chosen to be representative which still (last I checked) diverges from the observed average, tells me there is still much room for doubt.
When they make a hurricane model that all climatologist can agree works, such that all others can be safely ignored; let me know. Seems a single hurricane would be a simpler atmospheric model than global warming, no?
“tells me there is still much room for doubt”
It should lead to doubt, especially from those in the field but instead anyone who says there is uncertainty is rhetorically savaged like someone trying to stop a looter from getting a couple new tvs. Except sometimes, it isn’t rhetorical and people have their careers destroyed.