The repercussions of this for the space industry could be broad and unforeseeable.
There have been reports that Yuzhnoye Design Office in Ukraine has been destroyed. Yuzhnoye is the manufacturer of the 1st stage Antares tank, so if these reports are true, then Antares will never be able to launch again after NG-19. pic.twitter.com/UzfUrMXRoU
From June through last month, I had been working with a bunch of young Ukrainians in Kiev (men and women). I suspect that some of them have enlisted. And the Russians are protesting the war in Moscow and St. Petersburg.
By the time Europe could develop its own crew launcher, it would be past obsolete (just as Ariane 6 is). They should be focusing on getting around in space with their own vehicles, not getting there.
I’ve noticed that in public-policy areas in which we do a crap job of risk assessment/tradeoffs, it is areas in which there are policy agendas independent of the actual issues.
Other than a Windjammer Barefoot Cruise on a schooner in the late 90s (the ship went down in Hurricane Mitch a month afterward), I’ve never been on one, and have never felt a strong desire to do so. This tale doesn’t inspire me.