Conventional wisdom has long been that there are many types of cancers, and that we won’t come up with a single “cure for cancer”–that there will be many different treatments for different problems. But some researchers think that they may have in fact found a low-cost drug that cures many types of cancer, with few side effects.
Certainly, it’s very long in the tooth, and it lasted quite a bit longer than the age of battleships (the transition between the true was, arguably, abrupt, occurring on a quiet Sunday morning in Hawaii in early December 1941).
It will be interesting to see how new space capabilities start to trump conventional air power in the next few decades.
It’s sad, in a way, when one is so imprisoned by unrealistic ambitions held since childhood. I’d feel some sympathy for him if he were a…well…sympathetic character.
He confuses VSE and ESAS (as many do). The Space Frontier Foundation is not opposed to VSE–it is opposed to ESAS.
I think that the answer to his question is much simpler than any of his speculations, and I don’t buy his theory of “COTS as management slush fund for Constellation.” COTS is funded because the White House wants COTS to be funded. What their motivation is, I don’t know, but this is not a NASA-driven program, for any reason of the reasons he states. And that’s bad news, since it may not have any defenders in a new administration. They’re going to have to make a lot of progress in the next two years to ensure program survival. And even then, it could be cancelled. We’ve certainly done dumber things.