They’re also apparently running out of ammo. They’re having to get it from Belarus. When HIMARS and other long-range artillery/rockets is up to speed, the balance of military power will shift to the Ukrainians. And Putin knows he’ll face a revolt at home if he starts to conscript.
Category Archives: War Commentary
The Second Amendment
The Supreme Court has fully restored it, by a 6-3 vote.
Initial thoughts from Glenn Reynolds, and Eugene Volokh.
Cold War II
Starship Troopers
The Pentagon is considering purchasing militarized Starships.
The PRC And America
Will we subvert them before they complete their subversion of us?
Western Aid To Ukraine
Haas it deterred China from grabbing Taiwan?
[Update a while later]
The wheels are sort of coming off the Russian army.
Alien Invasions
How do we stop them?
And no, not talking about the southern border; that one’s easy to stop. They just don’t want to.
Horse Soldiers And Ukraine
An interesting history and analysis.
[Wednesday-morning update]
It’s hard to win a war when you mistreat your own soldiers.
[Bumped]
“Let Someone Whack You”
If these stories are true, Russian military morale seems…suboptimal.
The Vaunted Russian Military
[Update Thursday morning]
The very model of the modern Russian general:
Russian operational doctrine relies on a brittle top-down approach to command, which means that when (not if) a plan encounters unexpected setbacks, subordinates lack the flexibility and initiative to adapt to the new circumstances. Without a professional non-commissioned officer (NCO) corps and subordinate commanders who are expected and trusted to adapt to changing circumstances, senior Russian commanders, fearful of being sacked, have been required to expose themselves to hostile fire to direct tactical details rather than focusing on strategic or operational concerns. But the progress of the war thus far suggests that Russian problems are systemic and cannot be corrected by even the presence of senior officers doing the job of colonels and majors.
The relief of Russian commanders, which set this entire sequence into motion, has led some to suggest that a U.S. shortcoming in recent years has been our failure to fire unsuccessful generals. In the words of one critic, “a private who loses his rifle is subject to greater punishment than a general who loses a war.”
…The real problem that the U.S. military faces today is its loss of focus on the factors that underlie military effectiveness. “Diversity,” “inclusion,” and other buzzwords do not win wars. As the Russian experience in Ukraine suggests, neither does a broken system. The continued stalemate in Ukraine, which has dampened this year’s Victory Day celebration in Moscow, illustrates that the modern Russian general faces a task even more daunting than that of his American counterpart.
Both systems are broken, in different ways.