Category Archives: War Commentary

The Steele Dossier

The “verified” document that wasn’t.

Someone’s (more than one someone) got a lot of ‘splaining to do.

[Update Monday morning]

How the FBI broke its own rules:

In the fall of 1975, FBI agent John Connolly met with Bulger in the agent’s car on an abandoned Boston street corner. What would follow was the FBI’s greatest scandal involving a confidential informant subverting the vast powers of the government in order to target his enemies. This stain on the history of the Department of Justice should have led to effective reforms but instead it only foreshadowed more of the same.

Well, to be fair, it was politically convenient to do the same thing with Steele.

[Update a while later]

Spy versus spy versus spy: How Comey, Clapper, and Brennan are turning on each other.

I hope they all rot in jail.

[Late-morning update]

Trey Gowdy says that there is a potential game changer if certain transcripts are released.

And thoughts on a tale of two coups:

The fact that the losers in this election appear to have attempted to undermine the winners is an extremely bad precedent because it leads to the winners deciding to take it out on the losers next time around and that in turn leads to people not relinquishing power short of being turfed out with violence – see Venezuela and any number of Latin American, Central Asian and African dictatorships. In fact allowing the losers to come up with one way after another to try and delegitimise an election they lost is bad on its own because the ability to “throw the bums out” is a key feature of democracy. If voters can’t trust that their votes will be respected they are likely to resort to other methods of expressing their displeasure with the current set of rulers and that is something that these rulers may come to regret. The good news is that the New AG seems to be doing his job and turning over any number of stones that various parties would have preferred remained unexamined.

Let’s hope.

The Clinton Server Coverup

You’ll be as shocked as me to learn that it was orchestrated by the Obama White House.

[Update a few minutes later]

The guy Barr just assigned to look into the Trump surveillance has experience prosecuting dirty cops in the FBI. Barr looks serious.

[Update a few minutes later]

More from Liz Sheld. As she notes, the issue isn’t whether or not the campaign was spied on, but whether it had a legitimate basis.

[Noon update]

The CIA (Gina Haspel’s) is joining Barr into looking into what happened in the Obama administration. Brennan had better lawyer up.

[Late-afternoon update]

Oh, well isn’t this interesting? Apparently Durham has been on the case for months.

Surveillance Of The Trump Campaign

There was apparently a lot more of it than even those who have been following this thought.

You can tell by all the attacks on Barr that the Democrats and Obama apparatchiks are very concerned about how much of this is soon to be exposed. And hopefully some heads will roll, including Hillary’s people for obstruction of justice in the server investigation, if not for the server itself.

And then there’s this: “Barr is investigating Democrats. Democrats call for Barr to resign. According to Nadler, that’s obstruction of justice!”

[Sunday-afternoon update]

The Democrats are falsely accusing Barr of doing what Holder and Lynch actually did do for Obama.

Again, classic projection.

[Monday update at noon]

The fright of James Comey. And how the investigation was initiated by the FBI on false information.

I find it amusing, in light of how all these federal prosecutors are saying that Trump would have been indicted if he hadn’t been POTUS, Comey would have been indicted if he hadn’t been head of the FBI. And while Trump is still POTUS, Comey is no longer head of the FBI…

[Bumped]

[Tuesday-morning update]

Comey is in trouble, and he knows it.

Good. Or at least good about the first part. I’d actually prefer that he remain clueless.

[Bumped again]

[Update Wednesday morning]

Mueller’s ten most egregious missteps.

[Bumped again]

[Friday-morning update]

The FBI’s Steele story falls apart.

[Bumped again]

Safe Is Not An Option

Donald Robertson wrote a five-star review of the book, but apparently Amazon is getting overly (in my opinion) strict about who is allowed to review books there. So I’m publishing it here:

Rand Simberg’s “Safe is Not an Option” is an absolute must read for anyone interested in space policy, and why our expansion into space has been frozen in place for decades.  The book was first published in late 2013 and the author insisted to me that parts of it are out of date.  He is correct, but in any meaningful sense, it could have been written this afternoon.  I should state up front that, with a few very minor exceptions, I fully agree with his analysis, and came to many of the same conclusions independently.  Mr. Simberg writes well and this is a fun book to read.  
 
Mr. Simberg, an aerospace engineer, argues what should be obvious:  spending the majority of your budget to ensure the safety of astronauts in the most inherently dangerous activity humanity has ever tacked is excellent way to ensure you never accomplish anything – or the way I put it, to price yourself out of the game.  Unfortunately, this is not obvious to most in our government, who insist that safety is their first and last priority.  By extension, this means safety must also be NASA’s highest priority.   Not only does this attitude not make sense, it is unique to spaceflight.  We routinely lose hundreds of people every year in deep sea shipping accidents, and we tolerate all the risk involved in driving a car, to ourselves and to third parties, for no better reason than convenience.  But, we still insist on spending billions in a hopeless endeavor not to lose a single astronaut.  Mr. Simberg argues that this devalues spaceflight – space exploration is not important enough to allow volunteers to take the same risks they take driving to the space port.
 
Less obviously, Mr. Simberg argues convincingly that this attitude actually reduces safety.  Following the decision to move on from the Space Shuttle, then NASA Administrator Dr. Michael Griffin rejected using existing rockets with excellent track records.  He reoriented the constellation project to use almost the entire space exploration budget developing Ares-1, because he claimed it would have been safer,  In fact, it would have been anything but.  According to Mr. Simberg, by the time the project was cancelled as unaffordable, estimated costs had ballooned to $44 Billion.  Since Ares-1 essentially duplicated already existing capabilities, that’s $44 Billion that could not be spent exploring.  Part of that cost was due to many ad hoc systems introduced to “improve safety” – which also increased complexity and introduced new opportunities for things to go wrong.
 
There is one key area where I disagree with Mr. Simberg.  While I think the introduction of a US Space Guard to manage human spaceflight, modeled after the US Coast Guard, is an excellent idea, it makes no sense to put it under Air Force management.  Traditional Air Force operations are mostly, though not exclusively military, and generally involve short sorties supplied from the homeland or a small number of bases.  Any serious attempt to explore the Solar System will involve long travel times through an extraordinarily dangerous medium, civilian as well as military responsibilities, living off the land as much as possible, and the ability to make decisions and act independently forced by long communication times.  These characteristics sound a lot more like traditional naval operations, and any USSG should be under the Navy – or better, an independent organization.  We agree that NASA should return to their research and development roots.
 
Until recently, spaceflight was a bipartisan policy arena, with varying support by both Republicans and Democrats.  Mr. Simberg’s conservative political orientation leaks through in the occasional irritatingly snide remark, but overall, this is a refreshingly neutral book that this liberal Democrat can fully get behind.  Mr. Simberg explicitly criticizes some Republican space policies, and praises Mr. Obama’s efforts to replace what constellation had become with a more affordable, technically diverse, and semi-commercialized space program.  He outlines specific policies that could thaw United States space exploration and stimulate it to life. 
 
Had “safety” been better balanced with accomplishing mission goals and keeping costs low enough to fly often, people still would have been lost – inevitably – but much more could have been accomplished for their lives.  The idea that we can conquer the Solar System without losing lives is patently absurd – yet we insist on managing our space program as if that were an achievable goal.  I have argued that if we are not willing to reconsider that, we might as well stop wasting our money.  Mr. Simberg provides a detailed analysis, from an engineer’s perspective, of what needs to change.  Of course, everything is taking longer and costing more than Mr. Simberg assumed when he wrote the book.  Fortunately, in the increasingly diverse and commercial nature of human spaceflight, there are small, early signs that the long winter may indeed be ending.  

Thank you, Donald. I’m glad my “occasional irritating snide remarks” didn’t cost it a star. 🙂